Oregon 38, Washington State 31
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Oregon | Washington State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 67 | 80 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 28.8 | 27.2 | 29.9 |
| Possessions | 13 | 11 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* | 8 | 9 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.75 | 3.44 | 4.74 |
| Leverage Rate** | 70.2% | 71.3% | 68.5% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.594 | 0.520 | 0.494 |
| * A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) | |||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Oregon | Washington State | |
| Total | 34.7 | 32.1 | |
| Rushing | 10.2 | 3.7 | |
| Passing | 24.5 | 28.4 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Oregon | Washington State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 46.3% | 40.0% | 38.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 48.6% | 31.3% | 37.7% |
| Passing (close) | 43.8% | 42.2% | 38.5% |
| Standard Downs | 48.9% | 43.9% | 42.6% |
| Passing Downs | 40.0% | 30.4% | 28.4% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Oregon | Washington State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.12 | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.60 | 0.73 | 0.84 |
| Passing (close) | 1.75 | 1.05 | 1.06 |
| Standard Downs | 1.01 | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| Passing Downs | 1.44 | 0.56 | 1.22 |
| Line Stats | Oregon | Washington State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.52 | 3.17 | 2.89 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 15.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 33.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% |
| Turnovers | Oregon | Washington State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 8.1 |
| Turnover Margin | Oregon +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Oregon +1.61 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Oregon +0.39 | |
| TO Points Margin | Oregon +8.1 points | |
| Situational | Oregon | Washington State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.396 | 0.482 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.472 | 0.300 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.531 | 0.334 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.470 | 0.536 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.425 | 0.397 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.544 | 0.500 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.401 | 0.259 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Oregon by 10.8 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Oregon by 7 | ||
As I mentioned earlier this week, Oregon recovered all three of the game's fumbles (one of theirs, two of Wazzu's), and that basically made the difference in the game. Connor Halliday basically battled Marcus Mariota to a draw (what's with those sacks, Marcus?), but turnovers gave the Ducks the edge.