LSU 30, Florida 27
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Florida | LSU | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 57 | 72 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 29.2 | 29.1 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 12 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* | 4 | 5 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.00 | 6.20 | 4.70 |
| Leverage Rate** | 68.4% | 66.7% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.487 | 0.465 | 0.507 |
| * A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) | |||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Florida | LSU | |
| Total | 18.0 | 21.6 | |
| Rushing | 7.4 | 15.2 | |
| Passing | 10.6 | 6.4 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Florida | LSU | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 42.1% | 38.9% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 40.6% | 43.5% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 44.0% | 30.8% | 40.6% |
| Standard Downs | 51.3% | 45.8% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 22.2% | 25.0% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Florida | LSU | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.75 | 0.77 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.57 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.97 | 0.80 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.68 | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.12 | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Florida | LSU | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.43 | 3.30 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 16.7% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 14.3% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Florida | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 10.5 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | LSU +3 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Florida +0.22 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | LSU +3.22 | |
| TO Points Margin | LSU +10.5 points | |
| Situational | Florida | LSU |
| Q1 S&P | 0.581 | 0.447 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.393 | 0.494 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.181 | 0.523 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.627 | 0.421 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.549 | 0.498 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.516 | 0.473 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.262 | 0.471 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: LSU by 14.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: LSU by 3 | ||
Taking turnovers (and turnovers luck) into account, it's a wonder that LSU didn't win this game more comfortably, but Florida got a return touchdown from Andre Debose and was able to render LSU as ineffective on passing downs as its own offense was. And in the end, whoever lost this game was going to feel like they threw one away.