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2013 Mizzou Walkthrough: Franklin has managed to be polite and polarizing

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James Franklin

#1 | 6'2, 230, Sr. | Corinth, TX

2010: 11-for-14 passing (79%), 106 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 0 sacks (7.6/attempt); 23 carries, 116 yards (5.0), 2 TD

2011: 238-for-376 passing (63%), 2,865 yards, 21 TD, 11 INT, 18 sacks (7.0/attempt); 199 carries, 1,089 yards (5.5), 15 TD

2012: 139-for-234 passing (59%), 1,562 yards, 10 TD, 7 INT, 20 sacks (5.5/attempt); 68 carries, 290 yards (4.3), 0 TD

Bill C.: 1. The first thing any of us knew about him was that he was brutally, ridiculously polite. Yes, sir. No, ma'am. I grew up in an FCA town -- you went to Fellowship of Christian Athletes whether you cared about the 'C' or the 'A,' because it was a place to be seen (and, on occasion, a placed where your absence might be judged). Well, James Franklin is possibly the most perfect FCA athlete of all-time. He would destroy all comers in tackle football in the yard behind the church, and then he'd clean up, mow the grass, drive five freshmen home out of courtesy, then post about how much fun he had on Twitter (with full, egregious use of emoticons). There are a lot of ridiculously awful role models in sports. Franklin is an almost uncomfortably good one.

2. We ask a lot of football players. We ask them to play hurt. We ask them to play well hurt. We complain about the damage the sport does to players, and we know rules changes are potentially coming our way, but we also know that we like our football players to sacrifice for our pleasure, and we rebel against any and every proposed rule change wafted in our direction. It's an odd time to be a fan. It's also an odd time to be James Franklin. Franklin has designs for life after football, and we admire the hell out of that right up until it results in him refusing to take a pain-killer so he can go out and play a football game for us. We adore oddities when wins are involved, but with even the slightest threat of a loss, the odd ones are the first ones we destroy. The toughness we adored when Franklin was driving through the Oklahoma defensive line in the fourth quarter in 2010, the toughness we revered when he was bouncing off countless Texas A&M defenders on an incredible 2011 touchdown run, is the toughness we questioned when a shoulder injury (and lack of pain-killers) kept him out of the Arizona State game (How dare he smile on the sideline!!! Doesn't he know he's killing his team???), and when a sprained MCL kept him first from playing against Vanderbilt and Alabama, then from moving against Kentucky, then from throwing accurate passes against Florida, and when a concussion kept him out of the A&M game.

3. I can't say Missouri fans are better or worse than anybody else. I know too many amazing Mizzou fans to count, but I know the other ones, too. One thing is certain, though: We hate quarterbacks. We are not alone in this regard, but we are vociferous about it. Brad Smith is struggling? Yank him for Chase Daniel! Daniel seems like he might be hurt? It was time for the Blaine Gabbert era to begin anyway (or for Chase Patton to finally get his chance at glory). Gabbert can't play well on one ankle, or with an injured hip? He's a pansy and a prima donna. Get him out of here. It's time for the James Franklin era to begin. Actually, never mind. He's obviously not the guy. Berkstresser. Mauk. T.J. Moe. WHOEVER. In Gabbert's and Franklin's cases, their web presence has made them more accessible and more attackable. If I were to add up all the "Stats are for losers,""You should try watching games occasionally," and "You obviously don't know what you're talking about" blather that I've gotten from time to time, multiply it in quantity by 10 and in attempted masculinity by 50 ... that's a fall Tuesday for Franklin or Gabbert. Again, Missouri fans are not alone in this regard. Since the start of football, the backup quarterback has been the most popular player on the team. But it's embarrassing nonetheless.

4. The worst part: We still don't completely know what James Franklin is capable of.

The next step in his development will be his ability to shrug off mistakes. He played quite a few nearly error-free games, but when a glitch occurred, a second was sure to follow. He threw an interception in the opener versus Miami (Ohio), and his next pass went through a defender’s hands. Against Western Illinois, he twice overestimated his ability to throw a deep ball while rolling right (and he was twice saved by his receivers; Eric Waters broke up one sure interception, and L'Damian Washington wrestled another one away for a long reception). Against Kansas State, he threw an interception on his first pass, then froze up and took a huge sack on the next drive. Against Iowa State, he misread the defense and threw a pick six to A.J. Klein, then threw another interception on the next possession. After a quality first half, he turned the ball over four times (three interceptions and a fumble) in the second half against Oklahoma State. And then, of course, he threw back-to-back-to-back interceptions at Arrowhead versus Kansas.

These series of glitches gave ammunition to the crowd of Franklin doubters, just as it did with Daniel in 2006 (we forget now just how bad he looked against Nebraska and Oklahoma). But his overall resume tracks beautifully with those posted by other great Missouri quarterbacks.

I wrote that over a year and a half ago. And heading into his senior year, we still have no idea if he can shake off mistakes properly, if he can get out of his own head more quickly. I will forever defend James Franklin's ability to be a pretty good quarterback, but very good? Excellent? No idea. He hasn't gotten there to date, that's for damn sure. Franklin almost completely lost a year of development last season, and that's unfair. Mizzou had reasonably good luck with quarterback injuries from 2002-11, and Franklin's 2012 season was one giant regression to the mean.

5. There's still a chance James Franklin is not Missouri's quarterback in 2013. The odds are certainly good that he's the guy, and I think that's probably a good thing. When healthy, Franklin is a pretty good quarterback. We don't know his ceiling, but we've seen enough of his midpoint to think that the Mizzou offense could be perfectly decent with him in charge of it. If he gets hurt again, he may never get his starting job back, not if Maty Mauk seizes his opportunity, or if Corbin Berkstresser utilizes his experience and grows into the role. But if he can stay healthy, he will get the opportunity to prove haters wrong and prove exactly what he is capable of. We still don't really know yet.

**********

MizzouRugby: Unfortunately for James, it seems as though his legs will not be able to open up very many plays for him this year. It was woefully ineffective last year, and Henson’s offense might not call for him to do it, and that may be smart when QB runs jeopardize Franklin’s health, which is key to this team’s fortunes. Unfortunately for the coaching staff and fans, it has yet to be proven the Mizzou can be successful with James as a more traditional type passing QB. Hopefully he can recapture the offensive production of 2011, hopefully by trading some rushing yards in for passing.

The Beef: I think your comments about “proof” are a little tough given the relative success Mizzou had when Franklin threw for 2,500 yards in his one, healthy season. Franklin is on record about not really wanting to be a runner, and I feel like mentions of the offense and the calls being simpler will only help Franklin. He has a ton of weapons both behind him and to his sides, while he should also have a line which may be capable of allowing him some progression-reading time, which was rarely the case last year. If he starts all 12 games for us, then I feel he will start 13.


2013 Maryland football's 10 things to know: Forget last year ever happened

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Confused? Check out the glossary here.

1. A clean karmic slate

As Iowa fans (running backs), as Missouri fans (offensive line), etc., we can complain about our teams' bad injury luck. And to be sure, injuries, either of the "that's the one guy we couldn't afford to lose" variety or sheer volume of losses (especially to one position unit), derail the hopes of quite a few college football teams in a given year.

It's one of the maddening parts of the projections process, really: You know that no matter how many ways you find to make your numbers as accurate as humanly possible, a certain number of teams in a given year are going to get knee-capped.

That said, for all the fanbases complaining about how roster damage screwed their teams last year ... only Maryland was starting a true freshman linebacker at quarterback last year. Maryland wins first prize. Let's recap the carnage for posterity. It was amazing.

  • Danny O'Brien, once the conference's freshman of the year, transferred to Wisconsin in the offseason.
  • Assumed starter C.J. Brown tore his ACL in mid-August.
  • Freshman Perry Hills tore his ACL in mid-October.
  • Sophomore Devin Burns injured his foot in the same game and was lost for the season.
  • Freshman Caleb Rowe tore his ACL the next week.
  • Freshman linebacker Shawn Petty then had his redshirt torn off for the ninth game of the year against Georgia Tech. His backup was a freshman tight end.

Combined with injuries in other areas and a wealth of transfers -- head coach Randy Edsall didn't really make many friends in his first 12 months in College Park -- Maryland was incredibly, ridiculously young last season. And the evidence is clear in the players listed below. There are three sophomore quarterbacks with experience. The three leading returning running backs are sophomores. The three leading returning receivers are sophomores. Four of the six offensive linemen with starting experience are either sophomores or juniors. The top four returning defensive linemen are either sophomores or juniors. The top four returning linebackers are juniors. The top three returning safeties are either sophomores or juniors. It's staggering.

Through this lens, one fact becomes rather incredible: Maryland actually improved in 2012.

2. They improved

Granted, the improvement was slight (from 92nd in the F/+ rankings to 86th). And granted, that the Terrapins improved might say more about the awful 2011 team than it does the 2012 team. But with (almost literally) no quarterback and freshmen and sophomores as far as the eye could see, Maryland improved dramatically on defense and doubled its win total, from two in 2011 to four in 2012.

The timing is still a little bit off. The defense that improved so much last year could suffer with the loss of a few key seniors. But despite the on-field product, Edsall has recruited at a top-50 level, he has a bona fide star in receiver Stefon Diggs (and he may have found Diggs a partner this year), and a team that is infinitely more experienced overall in 2013 will be even more experienced in 2014. Somehow, the future is actually rather bright for a team that has won four or fewer games in three of the last four seasons.

2012 Schedule & Results

Record: 4-8 | Adj. Record: 3-9 | Final F/+ Rk: 86
DateOpponentScoreW-LAdj. ScoreAdj. W-L
1-SepWilliam & Mary7-6W13.1 - 21.1L
8-Sepat Temple36-27W17.3 - 21.2L
15-SepConnecticut21-24L19.3 - 23.9L
22-Sepat West Virginia21-31L21.5 - 20.0W
6-OctWake Forest19-14W10.2 - 20.7L
13-Octat Virginia27-20W16.3 - 23.6L
20-OctN.C. State18-20L31.2 - 22.8W
27-Octat Boston College17-20L16.9 - 23.5L
3-NovGeorgia Tech13-33L19.1 - 36.3L
10-Novat Clemson10-45L11.3 - 28.5L
17-NovFlorida State14-41L23.4 - 27.0L
24-Novat North Carolina38-45L32.2 - 31.1W
CategoryOffenseRkDefenseRk
Points Per Game20.110927.256
Adj. Points Per Game19.312025.038

3. But on the bright side, the offense never had a chance anyway

If you're going to suffer two decades' worth of quarterback injuries, you might as well do it when your offense is going to stink regardless. And if you're going to suffer a decent amount of turnovers luck, you might as well do it when your team hasn't yet put the pieces together.

Even without the quarterback situation, Maryland's offense was going to feature far too many freshmen and sophomores to have much of a ceiling. And one can almost find encouragement in the fact that, even as quarterbacks were falling left and right, the Terps' offense improved over the second half of the year. Granted, it went from amazingly bad to just bad, but that's still improvement.

Adj. Points Per Game (first 6 games): Opponent 21.8, Maryland 16.3 (minus-5.5)
Adj. Points Per Game (last 6 games): Opponent 28.2, Maryland 22.4 (minus-5.8)

In all, Maryland actually came within sniffing distance of bowl eligibility. While three of their wins were by a touchdown or less, four of their losses were, too. A bowl game would have been an incredible reward for a team that persevered with a 10-man offense, but winning four games and simply fielding a team (and almost winning at North Carolina in the finale) was enough of a sign that, through everything, Maryland might have begun to point in the right direction.

Offense

CategoryYards/
Game Rk
S&P+ RkSuccess
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL123123124121
RUSHING115122122123
PASSING104117118114
Standard Downs122122120
Passing Downs123120123
Redzone121121112
Q1 Rk1241st Down Rk121
Q2 Rk1172nd Down Rk114
Q3 Rk1173rd Down Rk96
Q4 Rk34

4. Let's just not even look at these stats

We learned almost nothing about what the Maryland offense is supposed to be last year. Offensive coordinator Mike Locksley prepared in the 2012 offseason for life with a quality run-pass threat at quarterback in Brown. Hills tried to run but wasn't very good at it. Rowe showed potential as a passer with decent mobility, but his stay wasn't long. And Devin Burns was run-first and run-second but his stay was even shorter. And for the final month of the season, Maryland basically attempted to avoid passing whenever possible.

In all, looking at the stats above without knowing any of the context, you might actually react with, "Damn, it's like they had a linebacker playing quarterback or something." So let's just move on.

With Brown once again the presumptive starter (KNOCK ON WOOD), here's what we know about the Maryland offense at this point:

A. There will be zone reads. Locksley has long been a fan of the run, and most of the QBs on the roster are indeed potential dual-threat guys. At least, they were with healthy knees. And despite Wes Brown's yearlong suspension following a summer arrest, the backfield is still a bit interesting, primarily because of the presence of sophomore Brandon Ross, who showed quality explosiveness at times last season. If the line improves at all -- not a given -- the run game could bounce back nicely, if only by default.

B. Maryland might have the best pair of receivers in the conference. They will also need some touches, through either jet sweeps, quick passes, or play-action.

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2013 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

PlayerHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsCompAttYardsComp
Rate
TDINTSacksSack Rate Yards/
Att.
Perry Hills 6'2, 215 So. *** (5.5) 97 169 1,336 57.4% 8 7 24 12.4% 6.0
C.J. Brown (2011) 6'3, 210 Sr. *** (5.6) 82 166 842 49.4% 7 6 8 4.6% 4.5
Shawn Petty 6'1, 235 So. ** (5.3) 39 84 500 46.4% 6 2 12 12.5% 4.1
Caleb Rowe 6'3, 210 So. *** (5.6) 25 44 290 56.8% 2 3 1 2.2% 6.3
Devin Burns


344775.0%00233.3%5.3
Ricardo Young 6'0, 195 Jr. *** (5.5)








Shane Cockerille 6'2, 205 Fr. *** (5.7)








Running Back

PlayerPos.Ht, Wt2013
Year
RivalsRushesYardsYards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TDAdj.
POE
Wes BrownRB6'0, 210So.**** (5.8)903824.23.32-6.0
Brandon RossRB5'10, 210So.** (5.3)853904.65.71-3.5
Justus PickettRB691422.12.73-21.6
Perry HillsQB6'2, 215So.*** (5.5)461573.41.73-5.6
Shawn PettyQB6'1, 235So.** (5.3)461182.61.81-10.9
Albert ReidRB5'9, 205So.*** (5.6)36922.63.20-11.1
Stefon DiggsWR6'0, 195So.***** (6.1)201145.74.10+2.8
Devin BurnsQB12857.16.41+2.2
Caleb RoweQB6'3, 210So.*** (5.6)10424.22.10-1.2
Joe RiddleRB6'0, 200RSFr.** (5.4)





Receiving Corps

PlayerPos.Ht, Wt2013
Year
RivalsTargetsCatchesYardsCatch RateYds/
Target
Target
Rate
%SDReal Yds/
Target
RYPR
Stefon DiggsWR6'0, 195So.***** (6.1)805484867.5%10.628.7%57.5%10.697.6
Deon Long
(2011 New Mexico)
WR6'0, 190Jr.***** (6.1)744780963.5%10.922.1%63.5%N/AN/A
Kevin DorseyWR531831134.0%5.919.0%45.3%5.835.8
Matt FurstenburgTE381620642.1%5.413.6%50.0%5.623.7
Marcus LeakWR302339376.7%13.110.8%53.3%13.445.2
Justus PickettRB201913895.0%6.97.2%35.0%6.415.9
Nigel KingWR6'3, 210So.*** (5.7)18912550.0%6.96.5%55.6%7.014.4
Levern JacobsWR5'11, 185So.*** (5.5)975077.8%5.63.2%44.4%5.35.8
Tyrek CheeseboroWR5'11, 195So.*** (5.7)








Dave StinebaughTE6'3, 250Sr.*** (5.6)








Malcolm CulmerWR5'11, 190So.** (5.4)








Daniel AdamsWR6'2, 215So.*** (5.7)








Amba EttaWR6'1, 190RSFr.*** (5.5)








P.J. GalloTE6'2, 250RSFr.*** (5.5)








Andrew IsaacsTE6'3, 230Fr.**** (5.8)








Taivon JacobsWR5'11, 165Fr.*** (5.7)








5. Stumbling into the league's best 1-2 punch

It seems like a match made in heaven, really. First, you've got Stefon Diggs, the blue-chipper who stayed close to home and, in spite of all the general awfulness around him, thrived as a true freshman.

With Marcus Leak also lost with injury, the second-most targets went to Devin Dorsey and his brutal 34 percent catch rate. Tight end Matt Furstenburg contributed 42 percent. In all, the Maryland quarterback carcasses combined to complete 50 percent of their passes to players not named Stefon Diggs … and Diggs still managed a 68 percent catch rate and averaged a robust 15.7 yards per catch. (He threw in 114 rushing yards to boot and may have been the best quarterback on the roster in November; only, sacrificing him to the angry quarterback-hating gods would have been an awful idea, and Edsall wisely chose against it.) Considering the degree of difficulty, Diggs very well may have been one of the two or three most impressive receivers in the country last year. With a healthy quarterback (and only one of them), there's no telling what he might be able to accomplish. And with a five-star junior lining up opposite him, the sky's the limit.

If there's one thing Deon Long knows, it's how to thrive on an awful offense. Locksley's New Mexico teams were horrendous, but Long still produced in 2011; his 10.9 yards per target even topped Diggs' 10.6 last year. (As a frame of reference, anything over 9.0, really, is quite good. Diggs and Long are both former five-star recruits, and they both have yet to play with a healthy, solid supporting cast. If the backfield is solid, these two guys could be amazing.

(We'll just end the receivers conversation there, as Maryland might not actually have a third one. If healthy, Diggs and Long could combine for something ridiculous, like two-thirds of Maryland's targets. And that might be a great thing. If they stay healthy. If they stay healthy. If they stay healthy.)

(Okay, fine, Nigel King might be worth watching as the No. 3 guy. But Diggs and Long are still going to combine for a ridiculous target rate.)

Offensive Line

CategoryAdj.
Line Yds
Std.
Downs
LY/carry
Pass.
Downs
LY/carry
Opp.
Rate
Power
Success
Rate
Stuff
Rate
Adj.
Sack Rate
Std.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Pass.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Team 79.8 2.182.4134.4%59.3%27.5% 43.8 12.8%10.3%
Rank 122 121118109102123 124 124108
PlayerPos.Ht, Wt 2013
Year
RivalsCareer Starts/Honors/Notes
Bennett FulperLG31 career starts
Justin GilbertRT18 career starts
Josh CaryLG12 career starts
De'Onte ArnettLG6'4, 295Sr.**** (5.9)11 career starts
Mike MadarasLT6'5, 295So.*** (5.7)8 career starts
Sal ConaboyC6'3, 290Jr.*** (5.7)8 career starts
Evan MulrooneyC6'4, 295Jr.** (5.4)6 career starts
Nick KlemmRT6'5, 305Sr.** (5.2)4 career starts
Andrew ZellerRG6'4, 300So.*** (5.5)2 career starts
Ryan DoyleLT6'4, 300So.*** (5.5)
Silvano AltamiranoLG6'2, 290Jr.** (5.4)
Jake WheelerRT6'7, 300Jr.** (5.4)
Maurice SheltonRG6'3, 290RSFr.NR
Michael DunnRT6'5, 295RSFr.NR

6. The line must improve

Will it?

We probably didn't actually learn much about the Maryland line in 2012. On runs, it was blocking for freshmen and one-legged quarterbacks. On passes, it was blocking for linebackers. The Alabama line would have struggled to produce meaningful numbers with this set of skill position players last year.

Still ... the line stats above are really terrible. Awful. And some of that has to have been on the line, one that must now replace its three most experienced starters. Former four-star signee De'Onte Arnett and some sophomores and juniors will certainly see improved stats just because of the players around them; but despite the excitement about players like Diggs and Long, the line could derail any hopes for major progress.

Defense

CategoryYards/
Game Rk
S&P+ RkSuccess
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL21313228
RUSHING27393741
PASSING30313330
Standard Downs203017
Passing Downs543559
Redzone665879
Q1 Rk471st Down Rk26
Q2 Rk322nd Down Rk49
Q3 Rk783rd Down Rk61
Q4 Rk30

Defensive Line

CategoryAdj.
Line Yds
Std.
Downs
LY/carry
Pass.
Downs
LY/carry
Opp.
Rate
Power
Success
Rate
Stuff
Rate
Adj.
Sack Rate
Std.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Pass.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Team 101.6 2.533.1335.2%74.3%19.4% 124.1 6.1%8.2%
Rank 52 15512210363 29 2336
NamePosHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsGPTackles% of TeamTFLSacksIntPBUFFFR
Joe VellanoDE1244.06.7%1461011
A.J. FrancisDE1233.05.0%940503
Darius KilgoNT6'3, 310Jr.*** (5.5)1231.54.8%51.50111
Andre Monroe (2011)DE5'11, 280Jr.** (5.4)912.51.6%7.550000
Quinton JeffersonDE6'3, 275So.*** (5.5)109.51.4%0.500012
Keith BowersDE6'1, 275Jr.*** (5.5)98.01.2%210100
Justin AndersonDL64.50.7%100000
Nate ClarkeNT6'3, 300So.**** (5.8)
Alex WalkerNT5'11, 290Jr.*** (5.6)
Roman BraglioDE6'2, 260RSFr.*** (5.6)
Ty TuckerDE6'2, 265RSFr.** (5.3)






7. Poor timing

A switch to Brian Stewart's attacking 3-4 defense paid off instantly for a Maryland defense that had quite a bit of experience in the front seven. Injuries slowed the progress down (of course they did), as did the simple fact that the D knew it was going to get no help from the O, but in players like Joe Vellano (one of the more under-appreciated players in the country), Darius Kligo, Darin Drakeford and Kenny Tate, Maryland had some personnel perfectly suited for new positions in a 3-4 structure.

Unfortunately, Vellano, Drakeford, and Tate are all gone. Last year's defense with this year's offense could have made one hell of a combination -- one that could definitely have gotten Maryland to a bowl game -- but while the offense looks to take a step forward, the defense might give away those gains.

Linebackers

NamePosHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsGPTackles% of TeamTFLSacksIntPBUFFFR
Cole FarrandILB6'3, 245Jr.** (5.4)1262.59.5%600331
Demetrius HartsfieldILB961.59.3%73.51202
L.A. GoreeILB6'2, 240Jr.*** (5.7)839.56.0%300110
Darin DrakefordOLB1138.05.8%9.560220
Kenneth TateOLB933.55.1%6.540412
Matt RobinsonOLB6'3, 240Jr.*** (5.5)523.53.6%101110
Alex TwineOLB6'0, 235Jr.** (5.4)1215.02.3%200100
Marcus WhitfieldOLB6'3, 250Sr.*** (5.5)128.51.3%0.50.50200
Bradley JohnsonILB6'1, 240Sr.*** (5.7)74.00.6%000010
Avery ThompsonOLB6'2, 220So.** (5.3)101.50.2%000000
Shawn PettyILB6'1, 235So.** (5.3)


Yannick Cudjoe-VirgilOLB6'2, 250Jr.NR

Abner LoganILB6'1, 235RSFr.**** (5.8)

Brock DeanILB6'0, 220RSFr.*** (5.5)

Yannick NgakoueLB6'3, 240Fr.**** (5.9)






8. Rebuilding the pass rush

Now, this isn't an all-hope-is-lost situation. Kligo is back, and he'll get help from former four-star recruit Nate Clarke at nose. Andre Monroe returns and could provide a solid threat from the end position. And thanks in part to injuries, there are still seven linebackers with experience, including Cole Farrand, a solid run defender.

But recent recruiting will be tested; if interesting freshmen or redshirt freshmen like Roman Braglio, Abner Logan and Yannick Ngakoue can help Maryland continue to get pressure on the quarterback, then the rest of the front seven falls into place nicely. But only five Terps logged more than 1.5 sacks last year; all five are gone. They're starting from scratch in that regard.

Secondary

NamePosHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsGPTackles% of TeamTFLSacksIntPBUFFFR
Dexter McDougieCB5'10, 195Sr.*** (5.6)1264.59.8%300500
Jeremiah JohnsonCB5'11, 190Jr.*** (5.6)1237.55.7%51.50810
Eric FranklinS1237.05.6%100601
Anthony NixonS6'1, 205So.*** (5.5)1233.55.1%001302
Sean DavisS6'1, 190So.*** (5.5)1210.51.6%000001
Isaac GoinsCB5'11, 190Sr.** (5.4)99.51.4%000300
A.J. HendyS6'0, 205Jr.*** (5.7)83.50.5%000000
Makinton DorleantCB123.00.5%000000
Alvin HillCB5'11, 195So.*** (5.5)61.00.2%100000
Tony PerryCB5'7, 170Sr.NR11.00.2%000000
Zach DancelS6'0, 195So.** (5.1)
Undray ClarkS5'9, 195So.*** (5.6)
William LikelyCB5'7, 175Fr.**** (5.8)

Jarrett RossDB5'11, 190Fr.*** (5.6)

Milan CollinsDB6'1, 195Fr.*** (5.6)






Special Teams

PunterHt, Wt2013
Year
PuntsAvgTBFCI20FC/I20
Ratio
Nathan Renfro6'1, 205So.7539.75171542.7%
Brad Craddock6'0, 180So.123.00000.0%
KickerHt, Wt2013
Year
KickoffsAvgTBTB%
Brad Craddock6'0, 180So.5259.959.6%
Place-KickerHt, Wt2013
Year
PATFG
(0-39)
PctFG
(40+)
Pct
Brad Craddock6'0, 180So.23-256-1060.0%4-666.7%
Brendan Magistro5'10, 180So.3-31-1100.0%0-0N/A
ReturnerPos.Ht, Wt2013
Year
ReturnsAvg.TD
Stefon DiggsKR6'0, 195So.2528.52
Levern JacobsKR5'11, 185So.617.00
Brandon RossKR5'10, 210So.320.00
Stefon DiggsPR6'0, 195So.2210.00
CategoryRk
Special Teams F/+61
Net Punting119
Net Kickoffs112
Touchback Pct120
Field Goal Pct86
Kick Returns Avg24
Punt Returns Avg60

9. A one-man special teams unit

Maryland was awful in punt coverage, awful in kickoff coverage, and below average in terms of field goal kicking. But the Terps ranked almost dead in the middle of FBS in Special Teams F/+ because of one guy: Stefon Diggs, who was decent as a punt returner and spectacular as a kick returner.

The punting and kicking could improve with experience (and with enough healthy bodies to actually put decent athletes on coverage units), but Diggs is still the one-man field position weapon. The 2013 season will be an interesting test of how much you can put on one 6'0, 195-pound frame. The addition of Deon Long will help, as will the sophomore running backs, but the more touches Diggs gets, in all aspects of the game, the better it is for Maryland ... right up until his body reaches its breaking point.

2013 Schedule & Projection Factors

2013 Schedule
DateOpponentProj. Rk
31-AugFlorida International101
7-SepOld DominionNR
14-Sepat Connecticut53
21-SepWest Virginia38
5-Octat Florida State19
12-OctVirginia71
19-Octat Wake Forest81
26-OctClemson20
9-NovSyracuse54
16-Novat Virginia Tech23
23-NovBoston College69
30-Novat N.C. State61
Five-Year F/+ Rk71
Two-Year Recruiting Rk45
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin*-10 / -3.5
TO Luck/Game-2.7
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.)12 (7, 5)
Yds/Pt Margin**+1.8

10. There are wins to be found

Let's pretend for a moment that the Maryland offense rebounds to around 60th in Off. F/+ this year, right around where it was in Ralph Friedgen's last season as head coach (2010). Diggs, Long, [Random Healthy QB], and company combine to overcome a shaky line and move the ball a bit.

And let's pretend that the three- and four-star newcomers to the defensive rotation are good enough to offset any major regression, and the Maryland defense also ranks right around 60th. Both of these assumptions are ambitious but not impossible.

A team ranked around 60th in the country could win around six to eight games against this schedule. And a team ranked around 70th or 80th could still manage five or six.

The Edsall era in College Park could not have gotten off to a worse start. The 2011 team saw a ton of transfers and a complete collapse on the field. The 2012 team saw some of the worst injury luck imaginable. But while there are still plenty of issues to be found, especially in the trenches, Edsall has put together an interesting, young two-deep, interesting enough that 6-8 wins is a realistic ambition and young enough that it will still be pretty young in 2014.

I'll conservatively set the bar at six wins for 2013, with the acknowledgement that injuries could quickly derail some thin units once again. But through all of last season's travails, Maryland showed some promise. And it could show more in 2013.

More from SB Nation:

Johnny Manziel could be in actual trouble this time

Official Coaches Poll Top 25 is out, led by Alabama and the SEC

Photos of Oregon’s insane new football facility

Bill Connelly’s Big Ten preview series is complete

Projecting every 2013 college football conference race

Today’s college football news headlines

2013 Mizzou Walkthrough: Mauk draws great comparisons

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Maty Mauk

#7 | 6'0, 200, RSFr. | Kenton, OH

Bill C.: He is Johnny Manziel. He is Chase Daniel. He is Brad Banks. Maty Mauk's skill set is both fun and easy to compare to that of some really, really good quarterbacks. The all-time high school passing yardage leader chose Missouri over any number of other programs, and it was easy to slot him in line behind James Franklin. And when Franklin struggled in 2012, it was easy to assume that he would actually surpass Franklin before Franklin's career was over.

There's still a chance that that happens, obviously, but in the spring he potentially experienced higher highs and lower lows than the senior incumbent, and this staff doesn't do "lows." With a ferocious August, Mauk could still win the starting job, but the odds are pretty slim right now. Chances are good that he'll be duking it out with Corbin Berkstresser next spring in the hopes of beginning a three-year starting run.

By the way, what happens if we average out the per-year contributions of the three players listed above -- the defending Heisman trophy winner, the greatest quarterback in Mizzou history, and the incredibly successful Iowa quarterback (and junior college transfer) of a decade ago?

Freshman: 167-for-250 passing (67%), 2,027 yards, 14 TD, 6 INT; 120 carries, 734 yards, 11 TD
Sophomore: 287-for-452 passing (63%), 3,527 yards, 28 TD, 10 INT; 147 carries, 379 yards, 4 TD
Junior: 213-for-316 (67%), 2,444 yards, 19 TD, 7 INT; 74 carries, 207 yards, 3 TD
Senior: 278-for-411 (68%), 3,454 yards, 33 TD, 12 INT; 75 carries, 288 yards, 3 TD

No pressure, Maty. All you have to do is be that awesome beginning with your first snap.

Mauk's skill set is tantalizing. It really is. His read-and-react abilities at the snap and his vast spread experience in high school certainly lend to the Chase Daniel vibe. And his ability to extend plays outside of the pocket are certainly easy to compare to a certain 2012 redshirt freshman (and Heisman winner) who, at this point last year, still didn't know if he'd be starting that season. But he showed in the spring that he still had a long way to go. And while he was meant to struggle in a one-hand-touch environment, so is James Franklin. And Franklin outplayed him.

It's okay to be both incredibly excited about the Maty Mauk era and be accepting of the fact that it might not start until next year. And as I said before, if he does manage to beat Franklin out, that's very good for Mizzou, because he'd have beaten out a pretty damn good quarterback. I guess we wait and see.

MizzouRugby: If he can beat out James in fall camp, then hell yes. If he can’t, then hell yes. Either way, Maty Mauk is gonna start for MU with DGB to throw to and Josey hand off to. At least I hope so.

The Beef: I am not quite ready to annoint Mauk as the starter for next season. I was not terribly impressed with what I saw at the Spring Game, though I fully realize it is the smallest of sample sizes. I am excited to see him in early season mop-up time, though I dont know how much more we will see beyond that. Going to be quite the spring in 2014, that is for sure, and there is no doubt Mauk is the early leader of the fight.

2013 Wake Forest football's 10 things to know: Do the Deacs have the pieces to bounce back again?

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Confused? Check out the glossary here.

1. "We don’t really know from year to year."

My first book, Study Hall: College Football, Its Stats and Its Stories, was released last week. I spoke to quite a few coaches for it, and Wake Forest head coach Jim Grobe was a particularly enjoyable interview. I thought I would use some of Grobe's quotes throughout this piece.

Grobe on compiling the talent to compete in the ACC:

We just tried to take the personnel we had and tried to be a little bit different. Defensively, we really felt like we didn’t have the personnel to be in a 3-4, so we actually went to a 3-3 look and played 5 DBs. And that really helped us for a couple of years. It was totally different than what others had in our league. We went back to four-man front when we got some big guys.

Our thoughts at both places [Ohio and Wake Forest, the two programs for which he has been head coach] were to initially try our best to be a little unique.

We've really gotten to be a program that … we don’t really know from year to year. It’s hard at Wake Forest because of the academics. At a place like Wake Forest, you just go recruit the best players you can, and your schemes might change year to year. That’s not what you like to do, but it’s something you have to do.

Like Duke, Wake Forest is a pretty tough job. The academic standards are high, the fanbase isn't that big, and there is no proven history from which to pull when trying to sway recruits. Despite a series of pretty decent hires -- John Mackovic (1978-80) and Al Groh (1981-86) would go on to decent success elsewhere, Bill Dooley (1987-92) had won quite a few games at North Carolina and Virginia Tech before arriving in Winston-Salem, and Jim Caldwell (1993-00) went to a Super Bowl as head coach of the Indianapolis Colts (with help from a pretty good quarterback) -- Wake has very much struggled to maintain success.

The Demon Deacons reached 14th in the country and finished 8-4 in 1979 under Mackovic, then went 5-6 the next year. Dooley won 13 games in his first two years, then won eight in his next three. Dooley went 8-4 in his final season, then handed the reins to Caldwell, who went 9-37 in his first four seasons. He eventually patched together a 7-5 season in 1999, then went 2-9 in 2000 and was done.

Wake Forest had been to just five bowls when Grobe arrived in 2001 and hadn't been successfully strong since the 1940s. The odds were stacked against him, and with this backdrop, his accomplishments -- five bowl games, a 28-12 run from 2006-08, the 2006 ACC title, and the simple fact that a 5-7 season in 2012 was seen as relatively disappointing -- have secured his legacy. Whatever he accomplishes from here on out, he will leave Winston-Salem as one of Wake's greatest coaches.

But what does Wake have left under Grobe? The 2006-08 run was aided in part by the fact that traditional ACC powers like Florida State and Clemson didn't really have their act together; but the Demon Deacons still ranked between 28th and 45th in the F/+ rankings each year from 2006-09. They've ranked 103rd, 64th, and 107th, respectively, in the last three. They could rebound again, but is the ceiling still reasonably high, or is 60th and about six wins all they can hope for moving forward?

2012 Schedule & Results

Record: 5-7 | Adj. Record: 2-10 | Final F/+ Rk: 107
DateOpponentScoreW-LAdj. ScoreAdj. W-L
1-SepLiberty20-17W17.3 - 27.2L
8-SepNorth Carolina28-27W37.9 - 21.1W
15-Sepat Florida State0-52L7.0 - 35.1L
22-SepArmy49-37W35.8 - 31.2W
29-SepDuke27-34L20.3 - 30.4L
6-Octat Maryland14-19L15.6 - 19.1L
20-Octat Virginia16-10W14.5 - 17.7L
25-OctClemson13-42L16.7 - 28.9L
3-NovBoston College28-14W23.5 - 30.9L
10-Novat N.C. State6-37L6.7 - 29.0L
17-Novat Notre Dame0-38L14.7 - 41.3L
24-NovVanderbilt21-55L22.7 - 39.3L
CategoryOffenseRkDefenseRk
Points Per Game18.511631.892
Adj. Points Per Game19.411929.373

2. Nothing worked

Wake Forest lost two tight games in the middle of the season -- by seven points to Duke, by five points to Maryland; taking either game would have gotten the Demon Deacons to six wins. But that wouldn't have made them a good team. The offense played well exactly twice (against North Carolina and Army), and the defense (which definitely wasn't the primary issue in 2012) was still only significantly better than average three times. And both units got worse after September.

Adj. Points Per Game (first 4 games): Opponent 28.7, Wake Forest 24.5 (minus-4.2)
Adj. Points Per Game (last 8 games): Opponent 29.6, Wake Forest 16.8 (minus-12.8)

Wake went from below average to bad, and a 3-1 start begat a 2-6 finish. The Deacs were pretty young across the board, and you can talk yourself into youth when it improves late in the year. Wake's young players really didn't. And as is usually the case, injuries didn't help.

Offense

CategoryYards/
Game Rk
S&P+ RkSuccess
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL12011584118
RUSHING11610883119
PASSING9310777112
Standard Downs10565117
Passing Downs116107116
Redzone11626
Q1 Rk1141st Down Rk106
Q2 Rk1122nd Down Rk115
Q3 Rk683rd Down Rk102
Q4 Rk123

3. "We had to go to school and learn to throw the ball."

Grobe on tweaks to the offense:

Our recruiting each year is simply trying to find the best players we can find. Maybe that’s an option quarterback, maybe that’s a throwing quarterback. We were running the QB a lot, with a lot of option stuff, and we ended up with Riley Skinner, who doesn’t run but throws so well. We had to go to school and learn to throw the ball. With Tanner Price, we’ve been a throwing team.

The recruiting approach for Grobe and his staff is to find athletes and fit a system around them. In 2012, however, the offense really didn't have many awesome athletes. The Deacs were still reasonably efficient on standard downs, and they were downright awesome in the red zone, but they just weren't able to create many chances for themselves because of a complete and total lack of big play ability. It doesn't matter if you're running or passing; if you don't have the horses, you're going to struggle.

Is the outlook any rosier for 2013 in this regard? It's hard to say yes. Possession receiver extraordinaire Michael Campanaro does return; of the six receivers targeted at least three times in 2012, only Campanaro managed a catch rate of better than 57 percent, but he also only averaged 9.7 yards per catch. He averaged just 11.4 as the No. 2 receiver in 2011. He was great in an "extended handoffs" capacity, but he didn't help to stretch the field.

Meanwhile, Brandon Terry showed promise in this regard (19.3 yards per catch, four catches for 87 yards against North Carolina), but his catch rate was far too low for him to be effective. They're both back, as is sophomore Sherman Ragland III, but if there's hope for more big plays, it might have to come from a newcomer like redshirt freshman Jared Crump. From what we know about the players on the roster, big plays aren't necessarily forthcoming. And in the running game, senior Josh Harris, a solid big-play guy on the rare occasion that he got to the second level of a defense, was recently deemed ineligible for the season.

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2013 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

PlayerHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsCompAttYardsComp
Rate
TDINTSacksSack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tanner Price 6'2, 205 Sr. *** (5.6) 228 410 2,300 55.6% 12 7 25 5.7% 4.9
Patrick Thompson 6'2, 210 Jr. ** (5.3) 5 6 21 83.3% 0 0 0 0.0% 3.5
Brendan Cross


26233.3%0000.0%0.3
Kevin Sousa 6'3, 230 So. *** (5.7)






Tyler Cameron 6'3, 220 RSFr. *** (5.7)






Running Back

PlayerPos.Ht, Wt2013
Year
RivalsRushesYardsYards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TDAdj.
POE
Josh HarrisRB


1376084.45.55-5.9
Deandre MartinRB6'2, 235So.*** (5.6)1264903.93.16-15.4
Tanner PriceQB6'2, 205Sr.*** (5.6)521472.84.20-12.1
Michael CampanaroWR5'11, 190Sr.*** (5.7)16825.13.21-0.7
Tyler JacksonRB11363.31.90-1.8
Lovell JacksonFL6244.01.40-0.4
Orville ReynoldsRB5'9, 185Jr.*** (5.6)5-6-1.2N/A0-2.7
Dominique GibsonRB5'10, 205RSFr.*** (5.7)





Dezmond WorthamRB6'0, 205Fr.*** (5.6)





4. "We’re trying to get back to being more of a running team."

Now we don’t run the ball very well because we’ve gotten used to throwing. We’re really in transition now – we’re trying to get back to being more of a running team.

At Ohio, Grobe was able to craft quite a bit of offensive success through his use of the Wishbone. A former Air Force assistant under Fisher DeBerry, Grobe was certainly schooled in the option, but he wasn't married to it; he did it at Ohio because he was attempting to do something different, not because he felt it is the only way to move the ball.

As mentioned above, Wake has turned into more of a passing team through the years, thanks primarily to the weapons it has been able to recruit. But that changes in 2013. In an effort to shake things up and perhaps manufacture a few more big plays, Wake Forest is going back to the option and good chunks of the offense it was running pre-Riley Skinner.

It's in quarterback Tanner Price to have some success as a dual-threat guy. He was known as a dual-threat in high school, and he had a couple of high-carry games early in his freshman year (10 carries versus Duke, 16 versus Stanford) before he got rocked pretty hard against Florida State, and the staff went conservative with him. Without Harris, however, Wake will be leaning mostly on youngsters to test opponents' run defenses. Sophomore Deandre Martin got experience last year, but that's pretty much it.

Receiving Corps

PlayerPos.Ht, Wt2013
Year
RivalsTargetsCatchesYardsCatch RateYds/
Target
Target
Rate
%SDReal Yds/
Target
RYPR
Michael CampanaroFL5'11, 190Sr.*** (5.7)1077976373.8%7.126.8%58.9%7.184.8
Terence DavisWR764354456.6%7.219.0%64.5%7.260.4
Sherman Ragland IIIWR6'2, 195So.*** (5.6)522324744.2%4.813.0%51.9%5.227.4
Brandon TerryWR6'5, 205Jr.*** (5.6)371529040.5%7.89.3%62.2%7.732.2
Tommy BohanonFB342320867.6%6.18.5%61.8%6.223.1
Josh HarrisRB


29199665.5%3.37.3%48.3%3.310.7
Lovell JacksonFL27119040.7%3.36.8%40.7%3.710.0
Deandre MartinRB6'2, 235So.*** (5.6)201613580.0%6.85.0%45.0%5.315.0
Spencer BishopTE6'2, 240Sr.NR732642.9%3.71.8%85.7%2.62.9
Matt JamesWR6'5, 220Jr.*** (5.6)31333.3%1.00.8%0.0%0.40.3
Tanner PriceQB6'2, 205Sr.*** (5.6)2213100.0%6.50.5%50.0%6.61.4
Tyler JacksonRB21150.0%0.50.5%0.0%0.20.1
Orville ReynoldsRB5'9, 185Jr.*** (5.6)22-4100.0%-2.00.5%50.0%-1.8-0.4
Jared CrumpWR6'3, 190RSFr.*** (5.6)








Zach GordonTE6'5, 245RSFr.*** (5.6)








Brendan O'NeilTE6'4, 220Fr.*** (5.6)








Offensive Line

CategoryAdj.
Line Yds
Std.
Downs
LY/carry
Pass.
Downs
LY/carry
Opp.
Rate
Power
Success
Rate
Stuff
Rate
Adj.
Sack Rate
Std.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Pass.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Team 83.9 2.372.7832.4%56.1%26.1% 87.2 4.7%8.2%
Rank 112 11999118114119 78 6290
PlayerPos.Ht, Wt 2013
Year
RivalsCareer Starts/Honors/Notes
Garrick WilliamsC27 career starts
Frank SouzaRG6'4, 310Sr.*** (5.6)14 career starts
Colin SummersRT6'5, 315Jr.*** (5.5)12 career starts
Whit BarnesC6'4, 300Sr.*** (5.5)11 career starts
Antonio FordLT6'4, 310Jr.*** (5.6)6 career starts
Dylan IntemannLT6'5, 310So.NR4 career starts
Steven ChaseOT6'6, 315Sr.** (4.9)3 career starts
Gabe IrbyLG1 career start
Devin BollingOT1 career start
Hunter GoodwinLT6'6, 300So.*** (5.5)
Cody PrebleC6'5, 280So.*** (5.7)
Tyler HayworthLG6'4, 310RSFr.*** (5.5)
Will SmithRT6'5, 300RSFr.*** (5.5)
Joel SuggsOT6'6, 300RSFr.** (5.3)
Josh HarrisOG6'4, 290Fr.*** (5.6)
Cory HelmsC6'4, 290Fr.*** (5.6)

5. You need five healthy linemen

It's a good sign that Grobe is still willing to tinker and make changes in a hungry search to move the ball. His misdirection running game indeed had a decent amount of success early in his Wake tenure, and it was certainly time for a change. But the change will only matter if the line can both stay healthy and improve. Between injuries and youth, the line fell apart in 2012, especially in terms of run blocking. It couldn't create chances for its backs, it couldn't keep defenders out of the backfield, and it couldn't convert in short-yardage situations. That's three strikes.

In 2013, six players with starting experience do return (50 career starts). That's certainly a good thing. The line is big and experienced. But how much can a line improve in one year, especially when a bit of a system change is involved?

Defense

CategoryYards/
Game Rk
S&P+ RkSuccess
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL91797581
RUSHING70667856
PASSING103827088
Standard Downs675677
Passing Downs9610193
Redzone798768
Q1 Rk771st Down Rk71
Q2 Rk882nd Down Rk42
Q3 Rk353rd Down Rk88
Q4 Rk36

6. The defense was not the problem

The 2012 Wake defense certainly wasn't very good, but it wasn't that bad either. The Deacs were reasonably efficient on standard downs, and a light but active line was able to make quite a few plays in the backfield. But even if the defense could leverage opponents into passing downs, the back seven wasn't able to make enough stops. Injuries were a hindrance -- each of the top three linemen all missed time, as did three of the top six defensive backs -- and the unit certainly regressed as the season went on. If the D can stay healthy, and if it can at least get some sort of help from the O, then there is enough experience here to at least shoot for a top-50 or -60 Def. F/+ ranking.

Defensive Line

CategoryAdj.
Line Yds
Std.
Downs
LY/carry
Pass.
Downs
LY/carry
Opp.
Rate
Power
Success
Rate
Stuff
Rate
Adj.
Sack Rate
Std.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Pass.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Team 105.5 2.832.6536.0%68.5%22.6% 94.1 6.4%4.2%
Rank 38 4919337022 73 18103
NamePosHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsGPTackles% of TeamTFLSacksIntPBUFFFR
Zach ThompsonDE6'5, 265Sr.*** (5.5)1139.55.6%5.541011
Nikita WhitlockNG5'11, 250Sr.**1039.05.5%5.530000
Kris ReddingDE6'4, 275Sr.** (5.2)1122.03.1%5.53.50421
Hasan HazimeDE1221.53.0%72.50222
Tylor HarrisNG6'4, 285So.** (5.4)1219.02.7%4.51.50021
Desmond FloydDE6'5, 255So.*** (5.6)54.00.6%000000
Johnny GarciaDE6'4, 260Jr.** (5.4)121.50.2%0.500000
Shelldon LewinsonNG6'2, 245RSFr.*** (5.6)
Josh BanksDE6'4, 250RSFr.** (5.4)
James LooneyDE6'3, 275Fr.*** (5.6)






7. A funky, effective line

Wake's nose guard, Nikita Whitlock, is smaller than most opponents' defensive ends. But in three years, he has racked up 30 tackles for loss and 9.5 sacks. He was dinged up last year, plus he got a bit more attention from opposing defenses, but he is a unique weapon, and Wake has shown that it knows how to use him at times.

Despite Whitlock's limited play, and despite the lack of health and depth around him, the line mostly did its job in 2012. Five different players logged at least 4.5 tackles for loss, and the Deacs were strong in both the Stuff Rate (making negative plays against the run) and Opportunity Rate (allowing runners to the second level, basically) categories. Not surprisingly, a lack of size contributed to short-yardage issues, but if you make enough plays, you can get away with that. There's a lot of experience here, and there's no reason to think the line stats will slip much. But the line will still need more help than it got last year.

Linebackers

NamePosHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsGPTackles% of TeamTFLSacksIntPBUFFFR
Justin JacksonROB6'1, 230Sr.*** (5.6)1260.58.5%8.540201
Mike OlsonMLB6'3, 230Sr.** (4.9)1158.58.2%3.511200
Riley HaynesWLB1246.56.5%3.511000
Joey EhrmannLOU1243.06.0%10.53.50020
Zachary AllenROB6'2, 240Jr.*** (5.7)1233.04.6%1.500010
Scott BetrosWLB1121.53.0%2.500110
Brandon ChubbMLB6'1, 240So.** (5.3)1218.02.5%100000
Derricus EllisLOU127.51.1%100000
Britt CherryILB6'1, 225RSFr.NR60.50.1%000000
Josh DonatellOLB6'6, 225RSFr.*** (5.6)
Kevis JonesOLB6'2, 230RSFr.*** (5.5)
Lance VirgileLB6'2, 220Fr.*** (5.6)






Secondary

NamePosHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsGPTackles% of TeamTFLSacksIntPBUFFFR
A.J. MarshallFS6'0, 195Sr.**** (5.8)1258.58.2%302410
Kevin JohnsonCB6'1, 175Jr.** (5.3)1246.06.5%3.50.531521
Chibuikem OkoroSS1244.56.3%302501
Daniel MackSS1036.55.1%0.500101
Merrill NoelCB5'10, 180Jr.*** (5.6)928.54.0%1.50.50300
Duran LoweSS6'0, 215Sr.*** (5.5)622.03.1%100001
James WardSS5'10, 170So.*** (5.5)1216.02.3%100100
Allen Ramsey IICB6'0, 190So.*** (5.7)108.01.1%101001
Chuck SchlegelFS6'0, 175Jr.NR111.50.2%000000
Ryan JanvionSS5'11, 190RSFr.*** (5.5)

Michael StevensonSS6'0, 175Fr.*** (5.6)






8. A decent secondary on paper

In 2011, then-freshman Merrill "Bud" Noel defensed 21 passes. In 2012, with Noel fighting injuries, then-sophomore Kevin Johnson recorded 18. In theory, this could be one hell of an active duo of cornerbacks if healthy. Throw in a former star recruit in A.J. Marshall and some youngsters with potential -- James Ward, Allen Ramsey and Ryan Janvion all drew some praise this spring -- and you can see a relatively impressive, aggressive defensive backfield coming together. But as with the offensive line, how much improvement can we expect to see in a single offseason? How much of last year's struggles (and there were certainly struggles) due simply to injury?

And how much will a solid secondary matter if the linebackers don't step up? Wake Forest's defense fell apart in blitzing opportunities, and the linebackers barely made any plays whatsoever against the pass. Players like Justin Jackson have showed potential, and the unit as a whole was pretty decent at flowing to the ball against the run, but it was perhaps the weakest unit on the defense last year, and it is the thinnest heading into the fall.

Special Teams

PunterHt, Wt2013
Year
PuntsAvgTBFCI20FC/I20
Ratio
Alexander Kinal6'4, 210So.9540.75282858.9%
KickerHt, Wt2013
Year
KickoffsAvgTBTB%
Jimmy Newman4661.82554.3%
Place-KickerHt, Wt2013
Year
PATFG
(0-39)
PctFG
(40+)
Pct
Jimmy Newman17-171-1100.0%1-520.0%
Chad Hedlund6'1, 185So.10-112-2100.0%1-1100.0%
ReturnerPos.Ht, Wt2013
Year
ReturnsAvg.TD
Orville ReynoldsKR5'9, 185Jr.1114.70
Deandre MartinKR6'2, 235So.1017.70
Lovell JacksonKR719.60
Lovell JacksonPR1012.80
CategoryRk
Special Teams F/+117
Net Punting101
Net Kickoffs18
Touchback Pct14
Field Goal Pct113
Kick Returns Avg124
Punt Returns Avg48

9. Don't stink at special teams

Underdog Tactics 101 tells you that you can't afford to give points away on special teams. Wake had a hell of a kickoffs weapon in Jimmy Newman and a solid punt returner in Lovell Jackson, but that was pretty much it in 2012. Kick returns were dreadful, punting was below average, and Newman wasn't as good a place-kicker as he was a kickoffs guy. Now Newman and Jackson are both gone. Wake needs to do its offense and defense as many field position favors as possible; can it?

2013 Schedule & Projection Factors

2013 Schedule
DateOpponentProj. Rk
29-AugPresyterianNR
6-Sepat Boston College69
14-SepUL-Monroe78
21-Sepat Army105
28-Sepat Clemson20
5-OctN.C. State61
19-OctMaryland83
26-Octat Miami25
2-Novat Syracuse54
9-NovFlorida State19
23-NovDuke88
30-Novat Vanderbilt51
Five-Year F/+ Rk67
Two-Year Recruiting Rk64
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin*+8 / +4.9
TO Luck/Game+1.3
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.)16 (8, 8)
Yds/Pt Margin**+2.7

10. "It’s a cat-and-mouse game. It probably boils down to how good your players are."

Grobe on stats and preparation:

We’re not any different than anybody else. We look at every stat known to man. Break down game film ad nauseum. We know what you’re doing on downs, field zones, hashes. Just about every situation you can possibly imagine, we’ve got it on a stat somewhere. But how do you manage all of those stats? How do you pull it together in a gameplan that makes sense?

We’ve got what you do down to a science, but you know we’ve got it. It’s a cat-and-mouse game. It probably boils down to how good your players are.

Again, Jim Grobe's legacy is set. He and his staff have proven flexible, resourceful, and adaptable through the years, and they have proven that they can hold their own in the "cat-and-mouse game." They make major shifts in strategy based on the talent they've got on hand, and they're even willing to change longstanding policies like their approach to redshirting. They pass the Underdog Tactics 101 course with flying colors, to the point where I dedicated a good portion of my "Beating, and Becoming, Goliath" chapter to Grobe's work at Ohio and Wake.

But you still need talent. Does Wake have enough? On paper, there does appear to be more talent here than what the Deacs showed last year. Tanner Price could thrive when given a few more opportunities to run. Michael Campanaro is a lovely "seven yards on second-and-7" guy. Nikita Whitlock is unique and, when healthy, dominant at times. Whitlock has play-making help on the line. And the secondary is full of aggressive, interesting players.

Wake Forest fell apart in 2010 and bounced back with an experienced squad in 2011. It could certainly do the same, and if the Deacs can get back to a top-60 level or so, there are certainly wins to be found. Only one home game is unwinnable (Florida State), and trips to Boston College, Army, Syracuse, and even Vanderbilt aren't incredibly intimidating. But it's up to Grobe and his staff to prove that they can continue to make interesting moves and tweaks. And it's up to Price, Whitlock and company to prove that they have the talent to take advantage when the cat-and-mouse game turns in their favor. I'm not completely buying it, but I'm intrigued.

More from SB Nation:

Johnny Manziel could be in actual trouble this time

Official Coaches Poll Top 25 is out, led by Alabama and the SEC

Photos of Oregon’s insane new football facility

Bill Connelly’s Big Ten preview series is complete

Projecting every 2013 college football conference race

Today’s college football news headlines

2013 Mizzou Walkthrough: Berkstresser tries to bounce back

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Corbin Berkstresser

#13 | 6'3, 225, So. | Lee's Summit, MO

2012: 88-for-177 passing (50%), 1,059 yards, 5 TD, 7 INT, 9 sacks (5.2/attempt); 44 carries, 143 yards (3.3), 3 TD

Bill C.: I think it was the footwork that gave him away. In 2012, Corbin Berkstresser showed immense physical potential as both a strong-armed passer and a burly short-yardage runner. He was thrown into an impossible situation -- high-pressure season, ridiculously tough schedule, sketchy offensive line -- and while he survived physically, his work left something to be desired. Of course it did. There's a reason why impossible situations are impossible.

When Berkstresser became too overwhelmed by a given moment, his footwork disappeared. He could throw short, easy passes straight to receivers' feet, he could make a terribly incorrect read, and he could prove even less capable than James Franklin at moving past mistakes. He had about a day's notice before his first career start against Arizona State (a team with a fast defense and brutal pass rush), he was forced into sudden action against Vanderbilt (a team with one of the best secondaries in the country), and he was thrown to the wolves against Alabama (a team that is Alabama). By the time he got to the Kentucky game, his third official start, he was rather discombobulated and mistake-prone. Easing into the role would have been great, but Berkstresser didn't get that chance. And in a miserable performance against Kentucky, Mizzou coaches actually decided it better to go with an immobile Franklin who couldn't throw or run.

Berkstresser has now had an offseason to regroup and go about finding his game again. He was passed by Maty Mauk in the spring and enters camp with the dubious "really experienced for a No. 3 quarterback" distinction. But he will still have a chance at either the starting or backup role this season, and he will still get a fair shot at starting again in 2014 and beyond. His footwork was an issue, and he has a long way to go on the mental side of things, but few quarterbacks could have outright thrived in his situation last year. A fresh start is a good thing.

MizzouRugby: It was mightily unfortunate for Corbin to be exposed as he was a RsFr last year. But it also showed what he has to work on. Also unfortunate is that he might not be able to start, barring injury, again for MU.

The Beef: He has said his movement to 3rd string was a bit of a wake-up call, which is never a bad thing. He will need to improve as the year goes on to get himself back in the discussion to ultimately replace Franklin next year. However, with the two frosh QB’s coming in behind him (never mind Mauk’s presence), it will be interesting to chronicle the remaining career of Berk.

2013 Mizzou Walkthrough: Printz and Hosick wait their turn

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Eddie Printz

#9 | 6'2, 215, Fr. | Marietta, GA

The Beef: I may not have much actual reason to be so, but I am a big fan of Printz. I think he has the more traditional background, and I think he will ultimately be the one who presses Mauk come next spring. We will see how it goes, but Printz won't see the field this year.

Bill C.: Printz has the rather unenviable task of being a direct competitor to a local boy. He doesn't seem to mind. He committed to Missouri despite the presence of Trent Hosick on the commitments list, and he quite obviously held his own this spring.

Obviously skill matters above all else, and if either Printz or Hosick is demonstrably better than the other, then that's that. But it will be difficult not to begin drawing conclusions about Josh Henson's style preferences when we track these two names on the depth chart. Printz is a passer who's a pretty good athlete; Hosick is an athlete who's a pretty good passer.

Here's what I said about Printz following the Black & Gold Game:

Eddie Printz, meanwhile, has the smoothest throwing motion on the team. One can tell that, while Hosick was maybe an athlete put at quarterback, Printz was raised a quarterback. He is certainly athletic enough, but he's meant for throwing the ball. He didn't get too many opportunities to impress on Saturday, but we saw what we needed of his throwing motion in warmups. On way play in the scrimmage, he escaped the pocket and, rolling left, attempted a difficult dump off to a running back (Tyler Hunt, I think) to his right. He couldn't quite finess it in, but it was really difficult.

Since that was my last impression of him, obviously my opinion hasn't changed much.

Trent Hosick

#11 | 6'1, 225, Fr. | Kansas City, MO

BillSelfsToupee: Dude beat Evan Boehm in the HWT state wrestling championships his Jr. year and Boehm’s Sr. year. He repeated the following year. All I have to say is Man Freaking Beast.

The Beef: I know there has been talk of Hosick eventually landing somewhere else on the roster, and that is terrible considering this young man has not taken a single class at Mizzou. However, that may be the way he sees the field down the road. No matter what position, he wont see the field this year.

MizzouRugby: Still love you for your Top Gun highlight video.

Bill C.: Alas, the audio was removed.

Still pretty damn impressive.

Here's what I said about Hosick in the spring:

Hosick impressed me a decent amount. He has a max-effort throwing motion -- when he throws hard, it looks like he's throwing hard -- but he made good decisions and moved the ball well in the "third string versus third string" portion of the scrimmage. (By the way, this game moved quickly. We'd have probably gotten more out of going to last weekend's scrimmage instead of this one, but the weather stunk.) He is big and athletic, as advertised, and one could easily see him becoming a strong game manager. His throwing motion isn't amazing, but it is more than good enough, and while it is certainly conceivable that he could end up at another position one day, don't assume it just yet. He can throw.

Hosick's athleticism is captivating. So is Printz's throwing motion. With these two joining a crowded quarterback race next spring, the odds are pretty good that, whoever wins the job, Mizzou is pretty set at QB in the post-Franklin era.

Mizzou's Greatest, #22: 1965 Indoor Track

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Steve Herndon. Cal Groff. Gene Crews. Robin Lingle. Earl Denny. Charlie Brown. These are the members of Missouri's last national championship team. Tom Botts' 1965 indoor track team was ridiculously dominant in a sport that was just getting its start, and the dual meet scores are just comical.

Mizzou 91.5, Arkansas 28.5, Drake 29
Mizzou 80, Oklahoma State 42
Mizzou 89, Indiana 42
Mizzou 83, Oklahoma 39

In the national meet, Mizzou thrived. Robin Lingle won the 1000-yard run (as noted in the Savitar, his time was, in 1965, the American and collegiate record), Gene Crews finished third in the shot put, Steve Herndon placed fourth in the high jump, and Earl Denny came in fourth in the hurdles. Brown, also a football player, dominated during the regular season in the 60-yard dash.

By the mid-1960s, Tom Botts, a Mizzou legend in his own right, was approaching 20 years on the job (he was Mizzou's head coach from 1946-72) and coming into his own. In all, he coached nearly 50 individual conference champions, nearly 25 all-americans, and five national champions. He was the mentor for two Olympians (Dick Ault and Dick Cochran). From his Mizzou hall of fame bio:

Statistically speaking, the athletic achievements of M.U. track teams under Coach Tom Botts run long. His track teams compiled a 135-56-2 dual meet record. During his tenure as head coach (1946-1972), Missouri won eight conference titles, four indoor and four outdoor; two Big Eight cross country titles; and the 1965 national indoor track championship, one of two M.U. national title (the other being the 1954 baseball squad under Coach John "Hi" Simmons). Following the 1970 cross country team's Big Eight title and sixth-place national finish, Botts was named the university division Cross Country Coach of the Year.

In 1961, Botts helped lead the U.S. track team through an undefeated tour of Europe.

At Missouri, Botts coached 48 individual conference champions, 23 all-Americans, five national champions, and two Olympians: Dick Ault and Dick Cochran. Ault took fourth in the 400-meter hurdles at the 1948 London Games; Cochran won a bronze medal at the 1960 Rome Games.

Coach Botts had been bestowed with numerous accolades as well. He was inducted into the Missouri State Sports Hall of Fame in 1977, the Drake Relays Coaches of Fame in 1979, and the National Track and Field Hall of Fame in 1983, when he entered along with Lee Evans, Archie Hahn, Mildred McDaniel and LeRoy Walker. When the inaugural class for the University of Missouri Intercollegiate Athletics Hall of Fame was released, in 1990, it was no surprise to see Tom Botts' name on the list.

He has served as honorary referee at the Kansas, Drake, Texas, and Michigan State Relays, and in 1954, Botts received the dedication of the official program of the Amateur Athletic Union Championships. In 1955, he became a member of the University of Missouri's Mystical Seven honorary fraternity. When he retired in 1972, the university appointed Botts professor emeritus.

Perhaps of greater significance is the type of man and coach he was and is: dedicated, disciplined, practical, efficient, humble, generous, a humanitarian, proud of his athletes.

Former M.U. football coach Don Faurot, in a 1983 Columbia Missourian interview, said of Botts: "He's such a gentleman. A fine, moral individual. He's had a big influence on the kids and keeps in touch with them all."

His team came to dominate indoor track rather quickly. And it all came together in 1965.

In the grand scheme of things, indoor track is not the most attention-getting of sports. And it certainly wasn't in mid-1960s. But while Mizzou's history is full of greatness, it isn't necessarily full of national champions. This team earned that designation and made Tom Botts, already one of Mizzou's most respected coaches, one of its most accomplished.

Mizzou Links, 8-6-13

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1. Practice reports

MUtigers.com
Tigers Put on Pads for First Time in 2013

Senior LB Andrew Wilson and junior DT Lucas Vincent combined to stuff junior TB Henry Josey for a short gain at one point in the scrimmaging, but Josey later got even as he burst up the middle for a 12-yard touchdown run against the #1 unit. To end the third period, Franklin and Sasser connected for a gain of around 15 yards on a third down to score points for the offense. On the play, Franklin showed impressive arm strength, as he threaded the needle and placed the ball perfectly in the breadbasket of Sasser, past the diving arms of a defender. Senior CB Tyler Davis made a big play for the reserve defense a few plays earlier, when he stepped in front of a pass in the flat and ran it back the other way for what would have been a pick six touchdown.

KC Star
MU football preseason depth chart

PowerMizzou
PowerMizzou: Camp Notebook: 8/5
PowerMizzou: Camp Q&A: David Johnson
PowerMizzou: PMTV-HD: Darvin Ruise
PowerMizzou: PMTV-HD: Offensive Line 8/5
PowerMizzou: PMTV-HD: Gary Pinkel 8/5
PowerMizzou: Monday Camp Photos

Defensive tackle Dequinton Osborne was a very late addition to the 2013 signing class, visiting and signing with the Tigers in early June.

"We have a lot of players we keep an eye on all the time," Pinkel said. "I think he's a little overweight now but he's got great quickness."

Like so often early in camp this year, Pinkel used a question about one freshman tackle to talk about the entire group. So far, Pinkel has not been shy about praising the quartet of Josh Augusta, Nate Crawford, A.J. Logan and Osborne

"Coach Kul, we evaluate personnel every single day," Pinkel said. "It's what we do. We're going to go in there today starting at twelve o'clock and watch the whole practice and I'll start with the offensive line, go through the whole board and talk about every player. Coach Kul said this is the best group of young defensive linemen we've ever had since we've been here, as a group. That's saying a lot. You go into his room and look at all the guys in his room that have played in the NFL -- and I'm not saying they're going to play in the NFL, I'm just telling. And he's real conservative. He's not the kind of guy that runs out, you have to prove things to him. I'm real encouraged by that group of guys."

Mizzou Network
Fall Camp 2013: Day Five Report

2. Profiles

Kony Ealy
The Missourian: Kony Ealy ready to be Missouri football team's next great defensive lineman

Donovan Bonner
The Trib: Bonner finally in line to shine

Darius White
Fox Sports MW: Former star Longhorns recruit Darius White is ready for second chance at Mizzou

QBs
Post-Dispatch: Mizzou backup QBs haven't conceded race

Receivers
PowerMizzou: Realizing their potential

Aarion Penton
We Are Mizzou: Rookie Spotlight: Aarion Penton

Equipment Staff
Mizzou Network: Fall Camp 2013: Mizzou Equipment Staff

3. Defending the medical staff

The Trib (Behind the Stripes): Camp Notes: Pinkel wishes Harneet Gill well, says 'sometimes things happen'
The Trib: Foot injury led to anguish for Gill - Columbia Daily Tribune
Post-Dispatch: Pinkel extols Mizzou training staff
KC Star: Pinkel defends MU training staff after injured freshman leaves team
Post-Dispatch: Former receiver defends Mizzou training staff

4. In the pros

SPOOOOOON
The Falcoholic: Sean Weatherspoon Leaves Practice Due to Injury
CBS Sports: Falcons LB Sean Weatherspoon suffers badly dislocated finger

Blaine
Big Cat Country: Jaguars depth chart: Blaine Gabbert, Chad Henne both listed as No. 1 QB
Jacksonville.com: Blaine Gabbert gets all first-team reps
Big Cat Country: Football Outsiders on the Jaguars: Is Blaine Gabbert salvageable?

Chase
The Trib: Daniel's 1st game is not all business

Tim Barnes
Fox Sports MW: Former Mizzou lineman Tim Barnes talks NFL training camp

Kendial
We Are Mizzou: Mizzou Made: Kendial Lawrence Scores First NFL Touchdown

Willy Mo
We Are Mizzou: Former Mizzou Captain Release Song for 2013 Season

5. WHATNOT

Swimming & Diving
MUtigers.com: Tigers Record Five Top-Eight Finishes at U.S. Open

Tennis
The Missourian: Columbia and Missouri athletics preparing for 2014 SEC Tennis Championships

6. DC: Tonight

For those in DC who don't live in the comments section, I'm flying to our nation's capital in a few hours, and we're meeting at Fado (about 50 steps from the Gallery Place/Chinatown Metro stop) around 6ish. Some are coming later. Be there or be square.


2013 Mizzou Walkthrough: Henry Josey is back

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Henry Josey

#20 | 5'10, 190, Jr. | Angleton, TX

2010: 76 carries, 437 yards (5.8/carry), 5 TD; 4 targets, 4 catches, 19 yards (4.8/target); 1 kick return, 20.0 average

2011: 145 carries, 1,168 yards (8.1/carry), 9 TD; 13 targets, 10 catches, 91 yards (7.0/target); 6 kick returns, 24.8 average

Bill C.: We liked Danario Alexander from the start. His rawness as a true freshman didn't completely disguise his absurd athleticism, and his fantastic performance in what may have truly been Missouri's biggest win of all-time (Kansas 2007) took our appreciation of him to a new place. But when he fought through a series of knee injuries and came back for one final go-round in 2009 (after quite a bit of shaky play in 2008), our admiration of him became true fondness. We rooted for him like a little brother, knowing what he had gone through to get back onto the field; and when he not only thrived but dominated in 2009 … it was a truly special feeling. His suffering made him so very human, and his transcendent play made him super human.

One almost gets the same feeling just knowing that we will be seeing Henry Josey back on the field in a few weeks. When every other Mizzou running back went down in 2011, Josey got a chance to thrive and dominated from the running back position almost as much as Danario did from the receiver position two years earlier. We didn't know that we were going to be exposed to such greatness, and it felt incredible; and after two-thirds of a season of it, it was taken away from us, cold turkey. And during a 2012 season that was incredibly frustrating in every possible way, everything felt so much emptier knowing that Josey was still out.

We have no idea what Henry Josey is going to be capable of over his final two seasons in uniform. We have no idea if the simple brilliance that he displayed time and again in 2011 will return; at his best, Josey just seemed like he was playing a video game on Varsity level. He never seemed like he was running fast and never seems like he was making ridiculous moves; but as countrycal wrote about Roger Wehrli a couple of days ago, it just seemed like he knew how the defense was going to move before the defense did. He needed just a sliver of space to pop through it; he needed just a step of open field to get around or by a defender. He is such a smart runner and was just so damn effective. And while we might not see that Henry Josey as much in 2013, any occasional glimpse of it will give us that Danario 2009 feeling all over again.

MizzouRugby: Will the speed come back? Will the smoothness, the glide, the jitterbug quality of his running still be available to him? Lord I hope so. Even if he isn’t back to 2011 vintage, he still has the talent to be very, very productive this year.

The Beef: Eight yards a carry ... EIGHT. Look, I get that defenses in the Big XII are not likely to have been at the level the SEC defenses of 2013 will be at. However, eight yards per carry is still eight yards per carry. It is simply a medical marvel that Josey is back, reported to be just as fast, and running without pain or even brace. He could not manage to gain another yard and I would forever be impressed with what he has gone through. Icing on the cake would be coming back at a level befitting where he was when he left, earning accolades and leading us to wins all along the way.

countrycal: Is there anyone among us that does not wish for Henry to pick up where he left off that afternoon against Texas? As Rugby and Beef have already noted, this kid will remain in our memory as a True Son if he never carries the ball again. If he is practicing without a brace, then I think we can expect to see him in action early and often – and that is just awesome news for Tiger fans because none of us have forgotten what excitement he brought to the 2011 season right from the start. If he is indeed healthy, then he gets the most carries, but I don’t think Pinkel will use him as a workhorse – and I don’t think he needs to, because we have plenty of firepower lined up behind Josey. – countrycal

2013 Virginia football's 10 things to know: Highs, lows and randomness

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Confused? Check out the glossary here.

1. Luck cuts both ways

In 2011, Mike London's second season in charge at Virginia, his Cavaliers seemingly broke through after three consecutive losing seasons. The Hoos went 8-5, won at Florida State, and nearly won their division. Combined with quality recruiting, the future looked pretty bright.

In 2012, Virginia fell apart, dropped back to 4-8, lost by 36 to Georgia Tech and by 24 to North Carolina. Any positive momentum was gone, and London finished the season on at least a little bit of a hot seat.

That's the narrative, and it's a pretty easy one. Virginia was improving, and then it wasn't. But luck played a role in both seasons. In 2011, UVa went 5-1 in one-possession games; that's an unsustainably high win percentage. In 2012, the Cavaliers went 2-4 in such games, wrecked by some of the nation's worst turnovers luck. Virginia recovered just 12 of 30 fumbles for the season and turned only four of 55 passes defensed into interceptions. They should have had a turnover margin around minus-3. Instead, it was minus-14. That cost them nearly five points per game in a season that, again, saw them lose four games by a touchdown or less.

Mind you, Virginia did still regress last year. An average offense in 2011 (64th in Off. F/+) was pretty awful in 2012 (88th). A defense that was turning a corner in 2011 (43rd in Def. F/+) took a small step backwards (53rd). And for the second year in a row, the Cavaliers had one of the worst special teams units in the country. This team wasn't destined to be that good. But it probably wasn't as bad as you think in 2012, just as it wasn't as good as you think in 2011.

Of course, that didn't prevent some rather significant changes to the staff. Five coaches were sent packing, and London brought in a rather incredible amount of experience. Former Colorado State head coach and NFL offensive coordinator Steve Fairchild was brought in to run the offense. Former Georgia Tech and Notre Dame defensive coordinator Jon Tenuta was brought in to run the defense. Larry Lewis, a former special teams coordinator at Washington State, Colorado State, and Nevada, now holds the same title in Charlottesville. And Tom O'Brien, former head coach at N.C. State and Boston College, was brought on as Associate Head Coach and tight ends coach.

London came to Charlottesville with quite the pedigree. He was a longtime Virginia assistant during some of Al Groh's best years (the Cavs went 25-14 from 2002-04, when he was defensive line coach, then surged to 9-4 in 2007 with him as defensive coordinator), and in two years as Richmond head coach, he went 24-5 and won an FCS national title. He seemed to possess a rare combination of local ties, recruiting prowess, and tactical quality. (Plus, he had the cool "He was also a cop" back story, which just adds bonus points.)

But even if last season was rather unlucky, UVa still hasn't improved much under his watch. If quality recruiting begins to pay off (it takes a little while sometimes), and if the coaching changes work out, then there could still be a golden age in the works. But these things better take effect pretty quickly.

2. How long does it take?

Can major change in the coaching staff take effect immediately? And how long does it take for quality recruiting -- Virginia ranks 24th in two-year recruiting -- to have an effect on the two-deep?

In theory, the former could have an immediate effect. The play-calling will undergo a drastic change on both sides of the ball. Maybe it doesn't work perfectly, but this was a major blood transfusion. But the effect of the latter is not quite clear because a lot of the big-time recruits are still quite young.

Virginia will likely be starting either a sophomore or redshirt freshman at quarterback. A five-star freshman could see quite a bit of the load at running back. And for better or worse, there will be quite a few sophomores and juniors seeing increased playing time in the defensive front seven. The bar is pretty low, especially on offense, but youth is not always quickly successful.

2012 Schedule & Results

Record: 4-8 | Adj. Record: 4-8 | Final F/+ Rk: 83
DateOpponentScoreW-LAdj. ScoreAdj. W-L
1-SepRichmond43-19W27.4 - 32.8L
8-SepPenn State17-16W27.7 - 16.2W
15-Sepat Georgia Tech20-56L21.1 - 48.4L
22-Sepat TCU7-27L23.5 - 33.5L
29-SepLouisiana Tech38-44L30.6 - 17.7W
6-Octat Duke17-42L22.5 - 27.3L
13-OctMaryland20-27L25.2 - 23.3W
20-OctWake Forest10-16L15.1 - 20.0L
3-Novat N.C. State33-6W34.0 - 13.8W
10-NovMiami41-40W29.1 - 37.5L
15-NovNorth Carolina13-37L23.5 - 28.3L
24-Novat Virginia Tech14-17L16.6 - 19.2L
CategoryOffenseRkDefenseRk
Points Per Game22.89528.970
Adj. Points Per Game24.79626.550

3. Bad, then unlucky

When Penn State missed approximately 26 field goals in a one-point Virginia win, it looked as if the Cavs' luck may not have changed from 2011. Combined with a solid performance against Richmond -- when looking at Adj. Scores, keep in mind that it has a bit of a blind spot when it comes to FCS opponents; you pretty much have to win by 50 to end up with a good Adj. Score -- it also looked like UVa could maintain gains in the "general quality" department. But then the defense got destroyed by Georgia Tech. And the offense only once played at an above-average level over a six-game period. And though the defense rallied, it wasn't enough to overcome both the Virginia offense and a wealth of bad bounces.

Adj. Points Per Game (first 4 games): Opponent 32.7, Virginia 24.9 (minus-7.8)
Adj. Points Per Game (next 8 games): Virginia 24.6, Opponent 23.4 (plus-1.2)

Virginia went 2-2 while playing at a below-average level, then went 2-6 while playing about average. It was a weird year, basically.

Offense

CategoryYards/
Game Rk
S&P+ RkSuccess
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL62877393
RUSHING989879105
PASSING37816684
Standard Downs10494103
Passing Downs615467
Redzone857881
Q1 Rk571st Down Rk110
Q2 Rk1132nd Down Rk71
Q3 Rk923rd Down Rk63
Q4 Rk85

4. Pro-style, whatever that means now

With Steve Fairchild running the offense, we've seen the word "pro-style" tossed around quite a bit. We'll probably need to come up with a new phrase now, what with pistol formations and zone reads beginning to finally proliferate among pro teams, but presumably what we can expect from UVa, for the most part, is "traditional" formations (medium-sized line splits, tight ends lined up on the line, etc.), relatively normal run-pass splits -- about 60% run on standard downs, 67% pass on passing downs -- et cetera. It has long been considered a recruiting draw to basically tell prospects you run what they do in the pros, and it will be interesting to see how that changes as what the pros do also changes.

Regardless, that's Fairchild's background, more or less.

And if O'Brien has any effect on the philosophy, then expect plenty of checkdowns to running backs. But that might not be a bad thing, because there's talent in the backfield. In terms of highlight yardage, anything at about 5.0 per opportunity or higher is pretty good, and Kevin Parks (5.0) meets that baseline. He also meets the baseline for catching passes -- a 75 percent catch rate and 7.9 yards per catch are neither great nor terrible. And between redshirt freshman Kye Morgan and blue-chip freshman Taquan Mizzell, there are options beyond Parks.

Of course, the running backs will still need help from the line. Virginia was awful at opening up holes on running downs and creating opportunities of any kind, and it was only decent at keeping defenders out of the backfield. Three-year starting guard, and two-time all-conference selection, Oday Aboushi is gone, but the fact that six other players return with starting experience (81 career starts) could be a sign that, at the very least, regression is unlikely. But improvement? Hard to guarantee it.

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2013 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

PlayerHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsCompAttYardsComp
Rate
TDINTSacksSack Rate Yards/
Att.
Michael Rocco1612661,91760.5%1310103.6%6.7
Phillip Sims


1142031,26356.2%94156.9%5.3
David Watford 6'2, 200 So. *** (5.5)






Greyson Lambert 6'5, 220 RSFr. *** (5.7)







Matt Johns 6'5, 205 RSFr. *** (5.5)







5. "I like their want-to."

With Michael Rocco's graduation and Phillip Sims' transfer, Virginia will have no choice but to go with a new guy at quarterback. With Matt Johns coming off of a nice case of spring mono, it appears the job will go to either sophomore David Watford or redshirt freshman Grayson Lambert. Youth at QB is not typically a winning arrangement, but hey, they have good want-to. So there's that. And there's also a pretty good set of skill position players around them.

Running Back

PlayerPos.Ht, Wt2013
Year
RivalsRushesYardsYards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TDAdj.
POE
Kevin ParksRB5'8, 205Jr.*** (5.7)1607344.65.05-3.4
Perry JonesRB1374633.42.92-23.1
Michael RoccoQB251536.14.50+3.0
Clifton RichardsonRB24592.52.30-5.6
Phillip SimsQB191347.13.32+4.4
Khalek ShepherdRB5'8, 185Jr.*** (5.5)191226.43.51+1.3
Kye MorganRB5'11, 175RSFr.*** (5.6)





Taquan MizzellRB5'10, 183Fr.***** (6.1)





Receiving Corps

PlayerPos.Ht, Wt2013
Year
RivalsTargetsCatchesYardsCatch RateYds/
Target
Target
Rate
%SDReal Yds/
Target
RYPR
Darius JenningsWR5'11, 175Jr.**** (5.8)924856852.2%6.220.5%58.7%6.164.2
Perry JonesRB744939766.2%5.416.5%51.4%5.344.8
Dominique TerrellWR5'11, 170Jr.**** (5.8)573746764.9%8.212.7%36.8%9.452.7
E.J. ScottWR5'11, 185Jr.*** (5.5)452939064.4%8.710.0%62.2%8.644.1
Jake McGeeTE6'6, 250Jr.** (5.2)422837466.7%8.99.4%35.7%8.742.2
Tim SmithWR6'0, 195Sr.**** (5.8)392040551.3%10.48.7%61.5%10.345.7
Kevin ParksRB5'8, 205Jr.*** (5.7)322418975.0%5.97.1%56.3%5.921.3
Colter PhillipsTE1284766.7%3.92.7%58.3%3.95.3
Khalek ShepherdRB5'8, 185Jr.*** (5.5)11612954.5%11.72.4%54.5%12.314.6
Paul FreedmanTE1164854.5%4.42.4%72.7%4.55.4
Adrian GambleWR6'1, 180So.*** (5.5)1133527.3%3.22.4%54.5%3.44.0
Zachary SwansonTE6'6, 255Jr.*** (5.5)988888.9%9.82.0%77.8%14.69.9
Canaan SeverinWR6'2, 225So.**** (5.8)31333.3%1.00.7%100.0%0.60.3
Jamall BrownWR6'0, 200RSFr.** (5.4)








Kyle DockinsWR6'3, 205RSFr.** (5.4)








Andre LevroneWR6'2, 197Fr.*** (5.7)








6. An underrated receiving corps?

Generally speaking, Virginia's passing game pretty much stunk last year. Michael Rocco threw too many interceptions, and Phillip Sims, an Alabama transfer, took too many sacks and didn't go anywhere with his passes. Virginia was mediocre in terms of pass efficiency (66th in Passing Success Rate+) and poor in terms of explosiveness (84th in Passing PPP+).

So if you want to doubt Virginia's receiving corps, have at it. You've got some evidence to support that. But the top two receivers (not including RB-WR hybrid-ish player Perry Jones) were four-star sophomores last year. Darius Jennings was the go-to guy, and Dominique Terrell was a semi-effective bailout options on passing downs. Jennings wasn't ready to be a No. 1, but the next four returnees on the list -- Terrell, E.J. Scott, tight end Jake McGee, and Tim Smith -- all averaged at least 8.2 yards per target.

Scott and McGee were also sophomores, and Smith was the No. 3 receiver in 2011 and has shown some big-play potential. This was a young, unprepared receiving corps last year, but damned if I'm not finding some things to like here … well, as long as there is a quarterback who can get these guys the ball.

Offensive Line

CategoryAdj.
Line Yds
Std.
Downs
LY/carry
Pass.
Downs
LY/carry
Opp.
Rate
Power
Success
Rate
Stuff
Rate
Adj.
Sack Rate
Std.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Pass.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Team 94.0 2.583.8736.2%65.2%18.1% 111.0 4.9%4.8%
Rank 95 1089937949 51 6636
PlayerPos.Ht, Wt 2013
Year
RivalsCareer Starts/Honors/Notes
Oday AboushiLT37 career starts; 2012 1st All-ACC
Morgan MosesLT6'6, 335Sr.**** (6.0)31 career starts
Luke BowankoLG6'6, 300Sr.*** (5.6)25 career starts
Sean CascaranoRG6'6, 270Sr.*** (5.7)12 career starts
Conner DavisRG6'5, 300Jr.*** (5.5)11 career starts
Cody WallaceRT6'4, 295Jr.*** (5.5)1 career start
Jay WhitmireRT6'6, 300So.*** (5.7)1 career start
Kelby JohnsonLT
Matt MihalikC
Ross BurbankC6'4, 290So.*** (5.5)
Sean KarlRG6'6, 300RSFr.*** (5.7)
Michael MooneyLT6'6, 285RSFr.*** (5.5)
Ryan DoullLG6'5, 300RSFr.** (5.3)
Jackson MatteoC6'5, 290RSFr.** (5.3)
Sadiq OlanrewajuOL6'6, 280Fr.*** (5.7)

Defense

CategoryYards/
Game Rk
S&P+ RkSuccess
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL28464947
RUSHING45504453
PASSING33475542
Standard Downs384339
Passing Downs657162
Redzone403944
Q1 Rk701st Down Rk58
Q2 Rk292nd Down Rk74
Q3 Rk443rd Down Rk13
Q4 Rk67

Defensive Line

CategoryAdj.
Line Yds
Std.
Downs
LY/carry
Pass.
Downs
LY/carry
Opp.
Rate
Power
Success
Rate
Stuff
Rate
Adj.
Sack Rate
Std.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Pass.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Team 112.0 2.711.6436.9%52.8%24.5% 71.6 2.1%5.5%
Rank 20 31244311 103 11981
NamePosHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsGPTackles% of TeamTFLSacksIntPBUFFFR
Jake SnyderDE6'4, 270Sr.*** (5.7)1231.04.9%5.52.50411
Chris BrathwaiteDT1227.54.3%103.50010
Eli HaroldDE6'4, 230So.**** (6.0)1224.03.8%721010
Ausar WalcottDE1220.53.2%2.50.50301
Will HillDT1217.52.8%410001
Brent UrbanDT6'7, 295Sr.** (5.4)1213.52.1%2.520211
Mike MooreDE6'4, 275So.**** (5.8)129.51.5%210000
Justin RenfrowDT128.01.3%000000
Bill SchautzDE66.51.0%000100
Jake McGeeDE126.00.9%000000
David DeanDT6'1, 290So.*** (5.7)112.50.4%110000
Trent CorneyDE6'3, 250So.NR
Andre Miles-RedmondDT6'4, 260RSFr.*** (5.5)






7. Nobody get hurt

Rarely do you see a bigger split than this: Virginia ranked a rock-solid 20th in Adj. Line Yards last year … and ranked a wretched 103rd in Adj. Sack Rate. The front four was quite stout and aggressive against the run, making all sorts of stops in the backfield (seven linemen and four linebackers had at least two tackles for loss) and performing at an incredibly high level in short-yardage situations. But it appeared that if the defense wasn't making a big play, it was pretty consistently allowing six-yard gains. And because of a terrible lack of pressure in passing situations, a good secondary was put under too much pressure.

In 2013, Jon Tenuta takes over, and while he has plenty of success on his long résumé, it will be interesting to see what he does with a unit that still has some play-makers -- ends Jake Snyder and blue-chip sophomore Eli Harold, for instance -- but has been thinned out dramatically. Three of last year's top four tackles are gone, as are the two linebackers (Steve Greer and LaRoy Reynolds) who made 64 percent of the team's linebacker tackles. There are relatively highly touted youngsters scattered throughout the front seven, but quite a few of them will have to succeed to both match last year's run success and fix the pass rush issues. And if there are a few injuries, yikes.

Linebackers

NamePosHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsGPTackles% of TeamTFLSacksIntPBUFFFR
Steve GreerMLB1283.513.2%920600
LaRoy ReynoldsWLB1062.09.8%9.510400
Daquan RomeroWLB6'1, 235Jr.*** (5.6)1229.54.7%3.500011
Henry ColeyMLB6'2, 240Jr.*** (5.5)828.54.5%4.500100
D.J. HillWLB6'0, 220Jr.*** (5.6)1110.01.6%000100
Demeitre BrimSLB6'3, 225So.*** (5.7)117.01.1%0.50.50020
Kwontie MooreMLB6'2, 250So.**** (5.9)123.00.5%000000
Darius LeeWLB6'1, 215So.** (5.4)83.00.5%000000
Mark HallSLB6'2, 250RSFr.*** (5.6)
LaChaston SmithWLB6'0, 215Fr.*** (5.7)

Micah KiserLB6'1, 215Fr.*** (5.7)






Secondary

NamePosHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsGPTackles% of TeamTFLSacksIntPBUFFFR
Anthony HarrisSS6'1, 190Jr.*** (5.7)1267.510.6%0.501310
Demetrious NicholsonCB5'11, 185Jr.**** (5.8)1243.06.8%1.5001500
Brandon PhelpsFS6'0, 185Jr.**** (5.8)1234.55.4%0.500300
Drequan HoskeyCB6'0, 180Jr.** (5.4)1233.05.2%000510
Maurice CanadyCB6'2, 185So.*** (5.5)1125.03.9%002311
Rijo WalkerFS5'10, 190Sr.*** (5.5)1214.52.3%100000
Anthony CooperFS6'0, 190So.*** (5.7)126.51.0%000000
C.J. MooreCB5'10, 160RSFr.*** (5.5)
Kelvin RaineySS6'1, 190RSFr.*** (5.5)

Wilfred WaheeCB5'11, 190RSFr.** (5.3)
Divante WalkerCB5'11, 170RSFr.** (5.3)

Kirk GarnerDB5'11, 180Fr.**** (5.8)
Tim HarrisDB6'2, 190Fr.**** (5.8)






8. The secondary should be awesome

Virginia's top three cornerbacks combined to defense 25 passes, a lovely total considering they combined for about 101.0 tackles (which is not too many, and not too few, for a set of corners). You want that PDs-to-tackle ratio pretty high because it hints at quality on-ball defending (or awful tackling ... but probably the former). Virginia corners had ball skills.

They just didn't have holding onto the ball skills. On average, 25 defensed passes should result in five to six interceptions; UVa CBs had two. Demetrious Nicholson somehow managed to break up 15 of them without holding onto a single one. Sure, catching is a skill, but that's damn unlucky. Nicholson turned two of 10 defensed passes into picks in 2011, so clearly he can hold onto the ball occasionally. But don't be surprised if he suddenly picks off four or five passes this year. He might be due.

Meanwhile, the simple fact that UVa had a top-50 pass defense (according to Passing S&P+) despite a non-existent pass rush is an exciting endorsement of a secondary that not only returns everybody from last season but adds a load of redshirt freshmen and a pair of four-star true freshmen to the mix. This could be an outstanding unit. Now it's just up to the retooled front seven to make sure it has a chance to thrive.

Special Teams

PunterHt, Wt2013
Year
PuntsAvgTBFCI20FC/I20
Ratio
Alec Vozenilek5'10, 190Jr.6640.64162257.6%
KickerHt, Wt2013
Year
KickoffsAvgTBTB%
Ian Frye6'6, 195So.4862.02245.8%
Drew Jarrett663.8350.0%
Place-KickerHt, Wt2013
Year
PATFG
(0-39)
PctFG
(40+)
Pct
Drew Jarrett27-276-875.0%2-450.0%
Ian Frye6'6, 195So.5-53-475.0%0-10.0%
ReturnerPos.Ht, Wt2013
Year
ReturnsAvg.TD
Khalek ShephardKR5'8, 185Jr.4222.10
Clifton RichardsonKR618.50
Dominique TerrellKR5'11, 170Jr.220.00
Khalek ShephardPR5'8, 185Jr.233.90
CategoryRk
Special Teams F/+123
Net Punting70
Net Kickoffs68
Touchback Pct28
Field Goal Pct86
Kick Returns Avg74
Punt Returns Avg115

9. Tackle somebody

Among other things, I've learned that you can begin to glean some information about a team's athletic depth by how well it covers kickoffs and punts. It's the roughest of rough conclusions, of course, but more often than not, your second-string defensive skill position players and defensive backs are the ones pursuing return men.

Virginia ranked 28th in Touchback Percentage on kickoffs.

Virginia ranked 68th in net kickoffs.

That's a bad sign.

Of course, the unit as a whole was pretty awful whether we're talking about coverage, kicking, or returns. If a kickoff didn't result in a touchback, chances are nothing good was happening on special teams for the Hoos. Hence the addition of Larry Lewis. Work your magic, Coach. If you have the horses, anyway.

2013 Schedule & Projection Factors

2013 Schedule
DateOpponentProj. Rk
31-AugBYU34
7-SepOregon2
21-SepVMINR
28-Sepat Pittsburgh35
5-OctBall State89
12-Octat Maryland83
19-OctDuke88
26-OctGeorgia Tech32
2-NovClemson20
9-Novat North Carolina29
23-Novat Miami25
30-NovVirginia Tech23
Five-Year F/+ Rk73
Two-Year Recruiting Rk24
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin*-14 / -3.1
TO Luck/Game-4.6
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.)14 (7, 7)
Yds/Pt Margin**+5.2

10. Fire up the luck machine

To an extent, I can talk myself into this UVa team, at least to some degree. I think the receivers will mature into their roles a bit (and I think a new QB tossing them the ball might not be a bad thing, even if Rocco and Sims weren't awful). I think Kevin Parks is a steady running back, and it will be fun seeing what Taquan Mizzell might be capable of. I like the defensive ends, and I love the secondary. There are still holes, obviously -- linebacker, defensive tackle, offensive guard, quarterback -- but I could see the Cavaliers at least returning to a top-60 level in 2013.

But here's the problem: Virginia plays eight projected top-35 teams this year. Sure, five of the eight come to Charlottesville, but to reach bowl eligibility, the Hoos will need to best the four lower-ranked teams on the schedule (including Ball State and Maryland teams that could be quite a bit better than their projected rankings, plus a Duke team that has won four of five versus UVa) and pull not one, but two upsets. That's probably going to require some 2011-level good luck.

It's conceivable that strong recruiting and some pretty impressive staff changes could buy Mike London some time even if he doesn't thrive in 2013. But one has to figure his seat will be awfully hot heading into 2014 if he can't figure out how to pull some upsets in the coming months.

More from SB Nation:

Johnny Manziel could be in actual trouble this time

Official Coaches Poll Top 25 is out, led by Alabama and the SEC

Photos of Oregon’s insane new football facility

Bill Connelly’s Big Ten preview series is complete

Projecting every 2013 college football conference race

Today’s college football news headlines

2013 Mizzou Walkthrough: Murphy is already a special teams all-star

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Marcus Murphy

#6 | 5'9, 195, Jr. | DeSoto, TX

2010: 22 carries, 181 yards (8.2/carry), 2 TD; 6 targets, 2 catches, 5 yards (0.8/target); 24 kick returns, 19.8 average

2012: 46 carries, 251 yards (5.5/carry), 1 TD; 13 targets, 9 catches, 22 yards (1.7/target); 19 kick returns, 24.1 average, 1 TD; 27 punt returns, 13.9 average, 3 TD

Bill C.: Plainly put, Marcus Murphy saved Missouri's backside last year. The Tigers were in a strange position in 2012 -- basically three plays away from 8-4 and three plays away from 2-10 -- and his awesome returns potentially kept Mizzou from sinking a lot lower than 5-7 (his touchdown against UCF was particularly redeeming).

While Murphy is a potential All-American on special teams, he is certainly not without value in the backfield. That Russell Hansbrough passed him on the depth chart probably says more about Hansbrough than Murphy (though it could also say something about Murph's blocking abilities for all we know). In two seasons, Murphy has 6.4 yards per carry, and while he has been barely more valuable than a throwaway in the passing game (19 targets have gained just 27 yards), a running back's first job is to run. Murph can do that. And hopefully with a more competent offense, his spectacular returns will be more of a bonus than a necessity.

MizzouRugby: His speed and return ability will be a huge asset for MU, and hopefully he can start to bring that explosive, big play ability to the regular offense as well.

The Beef: With Hansbrough ascending to the #2 spot, it seems as if Marcus will need to make his contribution on special teams more than at RB. He has certainly shown some impressive runs at times, so perhaps he will make further impressions with 5-7 carries per game. I do not know off-hand who has the better hands between he and Hansbrough, so maybe Marcus has more impact with screens and outs.

countrycal: I would love to see us get Marcus into the game with short passes out of the backfield and an occasional pitchout. He is just too good in the open field to use only as a return man. Even if they do not use him in that way, I believe he can be a regular, productive backup for Josey that forces the defense to acknowledge his speed and running ability.

2013 Mizzou Walkthrough: Hansbrough has forced his way into the rotation

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Russell Hansbrough

#32 | 5'9, 190, So. | Arlington, TX

2012: 37 carries, 139 yards (3.8/carry); 1 kick return, 56.0 average

Bill C.: It's easy to underestimate Russell Hansbrough. He came to Mizzou with fellow freshman (and Kansas City native) Morgan Steward, and as we mentioned with the quarterbacks yesterday, when things start out, fans are always going to pay more attention to the local boy. But while Steward redshirted, Hansbrough sneaked onto the third string and carved out a reserve role. His most memorable play wasn't a particularly good one -- he was basically suplexed by an Alabama defender late in the game versus the Tide -- but he kept earning two or three carries per game and showed some serious jets on his lone kickoff return. His numbers were not particularly impressive, but he showed quite a bit of potential. He seems comfortable running between the tackles, which could play nicely with the get-to-the-corner capabilities of Henry Josey and (especially) Marcus Murphy.

And it probably goes without saying that for whatever potential we thought he had, he backed it up by overtaking Murphy as the No. 2 running back in spring ball. We know Murphy's pretty damn good; the coaches are trying to tell us that Hansbrough may be better. That's exciting.

MizzouRugby: Love his potential, hopefully we will be able to recreate the 2010 three- or four-headed monster of a running game this year with Murphy, Josey and Hansbrough.

The Beef: I guess it will be interesting to see if there is any sort of battle for the No. 2 spot between Russell and Marcus Murphy. I was a little surprised to see him here, but every time I have seen him carry the ball, I have been impressed. I think Russell will see some decent touches (especially to start the year in what I think should be an effort to keep Josey healthy and fresh) and hopefully he does nothing but earn more.

countrycal: You can’t get too many of these smaller quick guys, and they fit perfectly in our offensive scheme. The reason large defensive linemen want to pick up a guy like Russell and bodyslam him is because he has already made them miss several times before and they are in a "stomp the mouse" mood. Whether he plays second or third, we know we have lots of depth with what we once called "scatbacks."

2013 Mizzou Walkthrough: White and Steward still searching for a role

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Greg White

#24 | 6'1, 220, Jr. | DeQueen, AR

2011: 11 carries, 38 yards (3.5/carry); 1 target, 1 catch, 13 yards

2012: 2 carries, 8 yards (4.0/carry)

MizzouRugby: A bigger back may be needed with the relative lack of size in the above RB’s. I see his role as a replacement Culver, and hopefully he can help contribute on special teams as Culver did.

The Beef: White has been an enigma the entire time he has been on campus. Logic dictates that Rugby is right. But for some reason, I just don't think we see White end up playing that role.

countrycal: For all the excitement the smaller guys can generate, I like to see some "knock ya down" size going into the line when you get inside the 10-yard line. I guess I am just too used to "old man football," but I remember Devine’s teams with Joe Moore, Greg Cook and Jon Staggers running the ball downfield and then Joe McBride and Jim Harrison just slamming into the line once or twice for the "in your face" touchdown. Since his recruitment I have hoped for White to step into such a Jimmie Jackson role, but it hasn’t happened. He still has two years to go . . . maybe it will happen yet.

Bill C.: Rugby is indeed correct -- Jared McGriff-Culver found a niche for himself as a blocker and third-down back, and while White isn't as big as Culver, he's the closest thing Mizzou's got to such a back. And if he's going to find a role for himself, now's the time.

Morgan Steward

#36 | 6'0, 210, RSFr. | Kansas City, MO

MizzouRugby: Learn from your elders.

The Beef: This is someone I was really excited about last year, though I did not mind the RS season. Perhaps he is the change of pace back we may employ. No matter what, I am eager to see him play and see what he has to offer.

countrycal: I second the Beef’s motion . . . someone call for the vote.

Bill C.: We've read at times about Steward's balance and vision, but obviously we haven't gotten much of a chance to se it for ourselves. The Staley High School product may have to wait his turn in this loaded unit -- that's what happens when you're looking up at three juniors and a sophomore on the depth chart -- but if he's patient, that turn should come. Mizzou has proven it will play quite a few running backs; the Tigers have also proven that if you make the most of your opportunities, you'll get more opportunities.

2013 Mizzou Walkthrough: DGB has it

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Dorial Green-Beckham

#15 | 6'6, 225, So. | Springfield, MO

2012: 43 targets, 27 catches (63%), 386 yards (9.0/target), 5 TD; 5 carries, 16 yards (3.2/carry)

Bill C.: A year ago, we had no idea what Dorial Green-Beckham might be capable of doing in his freshman year. And with 2013 creeping closer, we have no idea what he might be capable of doing in his sophomore year.

I mean ... we all saw the signs. We saw the UCF defender bounce off of him. We saw him take charge in the waning seconds against Tennessee. We saw how he needed just one block to explode down the sidelines against Syracuse. It's there. And with maturity, it's there more often.

I don't even know what else to say, really. It's there. We know it, Josh Henson knows it, and Dorial Green-Beckham knows it. (That last part is probably key -- there wasn't a lot of evidence that he knew it at the beginning of last season; he knew it late.)

My one critique at this stage in the game: I expected him to have better deep ball skills than he showed last year. He wasn't particularly aggressive in going up for balls in traffic. He has the best post-up frame you could ask for, but he still hasn't quite figured out how to use it. It's like a guy who was 5'11, suddenly had a growth spurt, and didn't understand how big he was. If he ever comes to understand ... yikes.

MizzouRugby: DGB earned a pass for a not so break out year last season with the sputtering of the entire MU offense. DGB was actually one of the more consistent WRs on the team (when he was able to be thrown to), dropping few balls, and coming up with big plays against Tennessee and UCF. Hopefully this year he will turn into a force to be reckoned with. I think we will see much, much more of him this season, but that may sadly come at Lucas’s expense.

The Beef: The best second-string WR in the country? Oh, how some get so worked up about things which are so meaningless. Fact is, DGB is going to be the #1 target. Perhaps he will supplant someone as the #1 at a WR spot. (Ed. note: since this was written, a new depth chart came out and listed him as a 12th starter. ) And if people get worked up because he does not get his name called as part of the pre-game, so be it. I just don't think it will matter and DGB is likely to pick up where he left off, which was trending up in a pretty solid way.

countrycal: I truly expect DGB to burst onto the scene and dominate at his position [and, in so doing, help Franklin put up award-winning numbers] in much the same way Sheldon did last year. The sky is the limit for this kid.

D-Sing: New offensive designs, but I think that DGB has a chance to excel in the Danario Alexander mold; in other words, line him up in the slot in three wide/four wide looks and let him take on the nickel and dime defensive backs/safeties. I’m not saying he’ll put up crazy numbers like D.A. did his last year; but if he could put up 60 % of that production, I would take it in his second year.

2013 Mizzou Walkthrough: Is this the year a talented receiving corps puts the pieces together?

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Dorial Green-Beckham

#15 | 6'6, 225, So. | Springfield, MO

2012: 43 targets, 27 catches (63%), 386 yards (9.0/target), 5 TD; 5 carries, 16 yards (3.2/carry)

Bill C.: A year ago, we had no idea what Dorial Green-Beckham might be capable of doing in his freshman year. And with 2013 creeping closer, we have no idea what he might be capable of doing in his sophomore year.

I mean ... we all saw the signs. We saw the UCF defender bounce off of him. We saw him take charge in the waning seconds against Tennessee. We saw how he needed just one block to explode down the sidelines against Syracuse. It's there. And with maturity, it's there more often.

I don't even know what else to say, really. It's there. We know it, Josh Henson knows it, and Dorial Green-Beckham knows it. (That last part is probably key -- there wasn't a lot of evidence that he knew it at the beginning of last season; he knew it late.)

My one critique at this stage in the game: I expected him to have better deep ball skills than he showed last year. He wasn't particularly aggressive in going up for balls in traffic. He has the best post-up frame you could ask for, but he still hasn't quite figured out how to use it. It's like a guy who was 5'11, suddenly had a growth spurt, and didn't understand how big he was. If he ever comes to understand ... yikes.

MizzouRugby: DGB earned a pass for a not so break out year last season with the sputtering of the entire MU offense. DGB was actually one of the more consistent WRs on the team (when he was able to be thrown to), dropping few balls, and coming up with big plays against Tennessee and UCF. Hopefully this year he will turn into a force to be reckoned with. I think we will see much, much more of him this season, but that may sadly come at Lucas’s expense.

The Beef: The best second-string WR in the country? Oh, how some get so worked up about things which are so meaningless. Fact is, DGB is going to be the #1 target. Perhaps he will supplant someone as the #1 at a WR spot. (Ed. note: since this was written, a new depth chart came out and listed him as a 12th starter. ) And if people get worked up because he does not get his name called as part of the pre-game, so be it. I just don't think it will matter and DGB is likely to pick up where he left off, which was trending up in a pretty solid way.

countrycal: I truly expect DGB to burst onto the scene and dominate at his position [and, in so doing, help Franklin put up award-winning numbers] in much the same way Sheldon did last year. The sky is the limit for this kid, and this may be his last year as a Tiger.

D-Sing: New offensive designs, but I think that DGB has a chance to excel in the Danario Alexander mold; in other words, line him up in the slot in three wide/four wide looks and let him take on the nickel and dime defensive backs/safeties. I’m not saying he’ll put up crazy numbers like D.A. did his last year; but if he could put up 60 % of that production, I would take it in his second year.


2013 Syracuse football's 10 things to know: Time for a new era

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Confused? Check out the glossary here.

1. Leave it better than you found it

We tend to think of teams as how they existed when we were 10. It doesn't make sense when those teams aren't good, nor does it make sense when teams that were once terrible actually manage to succeed. Syracuse football is a litmus test in this regard. Or at least, it's an age test. If you came of age in the 1950s or 1960s, Syracuse was the stalwart eastern program, pocketing a national title in 1959, going more than two decades without a losing record, and producing ridiculous talents like Jim Brown, Ernie Davis, Floyd Little, and Larry Csonka.

If you were 10 some time in the 1970s, Syracuse had ceded its eastern edge to Penn State and only once finished with a record better than 6-5 from 1971 to 1984. You know the Orange are probably capable of making some noise, but you don't consider it a birthright.

If you, like I did, were 10 in the late-1980s or 1990s, you remember Don McPherson, Donovan McNabb, Moose Johnston, Marvin Harrison, Dwight Freeney, and the other greats of the Dick MacPherson and Paul Pasqualoni eras. Syracuse finished in the top 25 nine times in 15 years, damn near won the national title in 1987, and attended what are now known as BCS bowls four times. This was the second-best era in Syracuse's history and proved that, with the right coach and situation, Syracuse can very much matter in college football.

If you were 10 in the 2000s, however, in the death rattle of the Pasqualoni era or (gag) in the Greg Robinson era, you see no birthright. You see little hope for greatness. You see an eastern school suffering as college football's talent moves south. Pasqualoni went 16-20 from 2002-04, which wasn't good but was quite a bit better than Robinson (10-37 from 2005-08).

Syracuse can very much matter in college football.

Doug Marrone inherited a program in its worst state since either the mid-1970s (3-8 or worse four times between 1973-78) or the 1940s. The Carrier Dome was no longer known as cutting-edge; it was mostly just half-empty. Syracuse had won just two bowl games in 12 years and hadn't been to one at all in five. The 'Cuse hadn't spent a week in the top 10 since 1996. This was not your father's or grandfather's Syracuse.

(And that 2007 team was just egregiously awful, one that made you forget that this was once a quality program.)

It still isn't your father's anything, of course. But it's a respectable brand again. That's something. Syracuse won the Pinstripe Bowl in both 2010 and 2012 and played at a top-40 level last year. In Marrone's four-season tenure, the Orange improved three times. They had three players drafted in the first four rounds of the 2013 draft. The Syracuse name was actually a name again. That alone is an impressive accomplishment.

2. A good time to jump

In taking the Buffalo Bills job, Marrone left the Syracuse program earlier than expected. But the timing of his departure could be worse for both parties. For Marrone, his team was due a step backwards in 2013, replacing the quarterback, two best receivers, and two best linemen from a resurgent offense, not to mention a good chunk of the defensive line. Marrone was selling high before his stock ticked down a bit, at least temporarily.

One could argue that the departure came at a decent time for Syracuse, too, at least if Marrone had to leave at all. Recruiting was not really picking up, and as mentioned, the Orange were most likely due a rankings drop this fall. Marrone built an interesting team with an outstanding offensive line and an aggressive defense, and he certainly could have continued to slowly build upstate, but this wasn't the worst time in the world for a change to happen ... if his replacement, Scott Shafer, is up to the task, anyway. (Kind of an important detail there.)

Shafer has hired an intriguing staff and is attempting to raise Syracuse's recruiting game while maintaining its culture of aggression. If the program had to lose a solid leader, now wasn't the worst time.

2012 Schedule & Results

Record: 8-5 | Adj. Record: 8-5 | Final F/+ Rk: 37
DateOpponentScoreW-LAdj. ScoreAdj. W-L
1-SepNorthwestern41-42L34.5 - 24.3W
8-Sepvs. USC29-42L28.8 - 31.6L
15-SepStony Brook28-17W31.9 - 27.5W
22-Sepat Minnesota10-17L26.6 - 27.6L
5-OctPittsburgh14-13W30.4 - 21.2W
13-Octat Rutgers15-23L37.5 - 21.0W
19-OctConnecticut40-10W50.9 - 29.5W
27-Octat South Florida37-36W37.9 - 39.8L
3-Novat Cincinnati24-35L30.9 - 24.9W
10-NovLouisville45-26W40.1 - 34.5W
17-Novat Missouri31-27W35.1 - 44.4L
23-Novat Temple38-20W29.0 - 32.7L
29-DecWest Virginia38-14W25.8 - 15.9W
CategoryOffenseRkDefenseRk
Points Per Game30.05524.847
Adj. Points Per Game33.82828.869

3. Moving in unison

When you start 2-4 and finish 6-1, the odds are pretty good that you improved on paper as well. But while that was certainly the case for Syracuse in 2012, defensive regression stunted the effect of offensive growth. The running game gained traction, which made the passing game nearly unstoppable, but the blitzes stopped working quite as much in November. As the offensive points rose, the defensive points followed.

Adj. Points Per Game (first 4 games): Syracuse 30.5, Opponent 27.8 (plus-2.7)
Adj. Points Per Game (next 3 games): Syracuse 39.6, Opponent 23.9 (plus-15.7)
Adj. Points Per Game (next 5 games): Opponent 35.3, Syracuse 34.6 (minus-0.7)

This doesn't matter if you keep winning like SU did, but when combined with the losses of some stars on the defensive side of the ball, there's reason to be concerned. And of course, when you lose the primary reasons for your offensive growth, that's also a concern.

Offense

CategoryYards/
Game Rk
S&P+ RkSuccess
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL17323729
RUSHING40313232
PASSING29313524
Standard Downs193118
Passing Downs475246
Redzone678745
Q1 Rk511st Down Rk21
Q2 Rk322nd Down Rk88
Q3 Rk213rd Down Rk7
Q4 Rk36

4. What is GeorgeBall?

When Shafer hired George McDonald away from Arkansas, where he had just been named receivers coach, to run his offense, it was seen as a pretty big deal. McDonald has built a reputation as one of the nation's better recruiters, and he's certainly a fantastic Twitter marm. He oversaw quite a few big-play receivers at Miami. For a first-time offensive coordinator, McDonald has a quality résumé.

That's what we know. What we don't know, however, is what the hell a George McDonald offense is supposed to look like at this stage. McDonald was Bill Cubit's first offensive coordinator at Western Michigan, where he ran a spread-out, pass-happy attack. But after two years, he moved on to the first of many stints as a receivers coach: Minnesota in 2007-08, Cleveland Browns in 2009-10, Miami in 2011-12. One assumes he likes to pass. But the more he wants to pass, the less his plans will jive with the remains of the Syracuse offense.

Ryan Nassib is now a New York Giant, and Marcus Sales and Alec Lemon, one of the nation's more prolific (1,937 receiving yards, 9.4 per target) and frequently targeted (46 percent of Syracuse's passes were thrown in their direction) duos, are also gone. Only one returning wideout was targeted more than 20 times last year, and returning quarterbacks combined to throw one pass.

Meanwhile, running backs Jerome Smith and Prince-Tyson Gulley, who combined for 2,001 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns, return. They'll be running behind a line that was awesome but must replace both members of a stalwart left side. What McDonald wants to do and what he's able to do in 2013 could be at odds, especially if dual-threat sophomore Terrel Hunt holds onto the starting job he appeared to win in the spring.

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2013 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

PlayerHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsCompAttYardsComp
Rate
TDINTSacksSack Rate Yards/
Att.
Ryan Nassib2944713,74962.4%2610153.1%7.5
Charley Loeb6'4, 220Sr.** (5.4)118100.0%0000.0%8.0
Terrel Hunt6'3, 219So.*** (5.5)






John Kinder6'2, 187Jr.*** (5.5)






Running Back

PlayerPos.Ht, Wt2013
Year
RivalsRushesYardsYards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TDAdj.
POE
Jerome SmithRB6'0, 226Jr.*** (5.5)2281,1765.24.03+10.4
Prince-Tyson GulleyRB5'10, 190Sr.** (5.4)1578255.35.19+12.1
Ryan NassibQB692413.51.82-4.9
Ashton BroyldHB6'4, 221So.*** (5.5)361714.82.81+1.2
Adonis Ameen-MooreFB5'11, 239Jr.*** (5.6)301083.62.95-1.8
George Morris IIRB6'0, 203RSFr.*** (5.6)





Receiving Corps

PlayerPos.Ht, Wt2013
Year
RivalsTargetsCatchesYardsCatch RateYds/
Target
Target
Rate
%SDReal Yds/
Target
RYPR
Marcus SalesWR-Z1046387060.6%8.423.2%64.4%8.3116.7
Alec LemonWR-X10373106770.9%10.422.9%57.3%10.3143.1
Jarrod WestWR-X6'2, 203Jr.*** (5.5)734359858.9%8.216.3%63.0%8.380.2
Beckett WalesTE6'3, 225Sr.** (5.4)513538968.6%7.611.4%51.0%8.052.2
Prince-Tyson GulleyRB5'10, 190Sr.** (5.4)473328270.2%6.010.5%48.9%6.037.8
Christopher ClarkWR-Z5'11, 160Sr.NR191112257.9%6.44.2%63.2%6.316.4
David StevensTE141010771.4%7.63.1%71.4%7.514.3
Jerome SmithRB6'0, 226Jr.*** (5.5)1388061.5%6.22.9%61.5%6.310.7
Jeremiah KobenaWR-X6'0, 182Jr.*** (5.6)10614660.0%14.62.2%40.0%17.719.6
Ashton BroyldHB6'4, 221So.*** (5.5)975377.8%5.92.0%88.9%4.07.1
Carl CutlerFB5532100.0%6.41.1%80.0%7.54.3
Adrian FlemmingWR-Z6'3, 200Sr.*** (5.5)








Josh ParrisTE6'2, 255RSFr.*** (5.5)








Ben LewisWR-X6'2, 194RSFr.** (5.4)








Alvin CorneliusWR-Z6'1, 187RSFr.** (5.4)








5. Hope you're ready, Jarrod

Sales and Lemon got the attention, and justifiably so, but Jarrod West was a quality No. 3 option, basically replicating Sales' profile (59 percent catch rate, 13.9 yards per catch). He caught six passes for 94 yards versus USC and caught seven for 98 and a score versus South Florida. If he's ready for the step up to the No. 1 role, he could see a ton of passes in 2013.

And if he's not, it's not immediately clear who will. Junior Jeremiah Kobena looked interesting in a tiny role, but players like redshirt freshmen Ben Lewis and Alvin Cornelius, along with a load of tight ends and H-backs (Beckett Wales, former quarterback Ashton Broyld), will need to make some sort of impact to take heat off of West.

Offensive Line

CategoryAdj.
Line Yds
Std.
Downs
LY/carry
Pass.
Downs
LY/carry
Opp.
Rate
Power
Success
Rate
Stuff
Rate
Adj.
Sack Rate
Std.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Pass.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Team 116.6 3.133.9140.1%66.2%16.5% 203.9 1.6%4.5%
Rank 10 347526724 13 1030
PlayerPos.Ht, Wt 2013
Year
RivalsCareer Starts/Honors/Notes
Justin PughLT34 career starts; 2012 1st All-Big East
Zack ChibaneLG38 career starts
Macky MacPhersonC6'2, 290Sr.** (5.3)25 career starts
Sean HickeyLT6'5, 291Jr.** (5.2)13 career starts
Rob TrudoLG6'3, 284So.** (5.4)9 career starts
Ivan FoyRT6'4, 313So.** (5.2)4 career starts
Lou AlexanderRT4 career starts
Andrew PhillipsLT1 career start
Daniel AnyaegbunamRT6'3, 290Sr.NR
Nick RobinsonRG6'5, 297So.** (5.2)
Kyle KnappLT6'4, 284RSFr.*** (5.6)
Jason EmerichC6'3, 280RSFr.** (5.4)
Omari PalmerLG6'2, 309RSFr.** (5.4)
John MillerRG6'2, 308So.*** (5.5)
Michael LaskerOL6'4, 324So.NR
Kendall MooreOL6'5, 265Fr.*** (5.6)
Jon BurtonRT6'6, 317Fr.** (5.3)

6. The line did its job

How much of an impact did two three-year starters, tackle (and first-round pick) Justin Pugh and guard Zack Chibane, have on Syracuse's success last year? Because in terms of line stats, Syracuse's line was responsible for quite a bit of the offense's success. On both runs and passes, the line kept defenders out of the backfield all season, giving a talented group of skill position players more than enough chance to thrive.

The relationship worked both ways -- Ryan Nassib was a pretty quick decision-maker, and neither Jerome Smith nor Prince-Tyson Gulley needed much of a crease to get to the second level of the defense -- but the line more than did its job (despite pretty awful recruiting rankings, no less). The return of four players with starting experience (51 career starts) will help, but will it offset the loss of two veterans?

Defense

CategoryYards/
Game Rk
S&P+ RkSuccess
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL47646265
RUSHING42535554
PASSING62727574
Standard Downs838185
Passing Downs303233
Redzone13247
Q1 Rk781st Down Rk100
Q2 Rk592nd Down Rk41
Q3 Rk673rd Down Rk39
Q4 Rk68

7. Be! Aggressive! Be, be! Aggressive!

It is a Scott Shafer watchword. You can't read a paragraph's worth of quotes from the new head man (and last year's defensive coordinator) without "aggressive" working its way into the conversation. And while last year's defense wasn't that great, it was certainly hostile. Nine players recorded at least 4.5 tackles for loss, six recorded at least 8.5.

There were plenty of breakdowns along the way, but Syracuse knew how to get after it. And one has to assume that will continue to be the way of life for the Orange.

Defensive Line

CategoryAdj.
Line Yds
Std.
Downs
LY/carry
Pass.
Downs
LY/carry
Opp.
Rate
Power
Success
Rate
Stuff
Rate
Adj.
Sack Rate
Std.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Pass.
Downs
Sack Rt.
Team 101.7 2.603.1136.7%57.1%25.2% 117.9 5.3%8.9%
Rank 51 18484079 36 4125
NamePosHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsGPTackles% of TeamTFLSacksIntPBUFFFR
Deon GogginsDT1339.55.7%8.510001
Brandon SharpeDE1331.04.5%1570210
Jay BromleyDT6'4, 285Sr.NR1327.54.0%5.52.50100
Markus Pierce-BrewsterDE1324.03.4%8.510001
Micah RobinsonDE6'4, 265Jr.** (5.4)1314.02.0%2.51.50000
Eric CrumeNT6'0, 305Jr.** (5.4)1213.01.9%200011
Zian JonesNT6'4, 311Sr.*** (5.6)126.50.9%100000
Robert WelshDE6'3, 256Jr.** (5.4)133.50.5%0.500000
John RaymonDT6'5, 323So.*** (5.7)

Ron ThompsonDE6'4, 268RSFr.*** (5.6)
Marcus ColemanDT6'1, 266RSFr.** (5.4)

Wayne WilliamsDT6'5, 335Jr.*** (5.5)


Trevon TrejoDE6'5, 240Jr.** (5.4)
Tyler MaronaDE6'4, 258So.NR






8. Do the Orange have the pieces to be aggressive?

Syracuse was particularly good at stuffing short-yardage situations and slicing into the backfield against the run. The pass was solid, too, but negative plays against the run were a Syracuse strength. Of course, if the runner got beyond the line, bad things tended to happen.

So how much will this change in 2013? The line must replace three of four starters, and while players like Micah Robinson and Eric Crume produced a couple of nice plays amid their minimal playing time, they still got minimal playing time. The rotation wasn't huge, and now it's been hit hard. Some JUCO transfers could help out, but it's hard to assume they'll immediately play a role. There is certainly solid size here, but will Shafer and defensive coordinator Chuck Bullough be able to count on the same level of negative plays? And if the defense isn't making as many plays, will it manage to allow fewer, too?

If the line can hold up, though, the linebackers could once again do quite a bit of damage. Dyshawn Davis and Marquis Spruill are barely bigger than safeties, but they fulfilled Shafer's need for speed last year, combining for 23 tackles for loss, mostly against the run, in 2012. They return, as does pass rush missile Cameron Lynch. If one of these three gets hurt, the experience falls off drastically (this wasn't a deep unit last year, and in terms of experience, it isn't in 2013 either), but the starters are potentially awesome. That's something.

Linebackers

NamePosHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsGPTackles% of TeamTFLSacksIntPBUFFFR
Siriki DiabateMLB1360.08.6%10.50.50200
Dyshawn DavisWLB6'2, 220Jr.*** (5.7)1356.58.1%1411202
Marquis SpruillMLB6'1, 224Sr.**** (5.8)1351.07.3%920100
Cameron LynchSLB5'11, 230Jr.*** (5.6)1335.05.0%4.540111
Dan VaughanMLB138.01.1%21.50001
Lewellyn CokerSLB6'1, 230Sr.** (5.3)137.01.0%000002
Oliver VigilleWLB6'2, 220So.*** (5.5)133.00.4%000000
James WashingtonMLB6'1, 218RSFr.*** (5.5)

Luke ArciniegaMLB6'2, 241Jr.*** (5.7)
Josh KirklandLB6'2, 204Jr.** (5.4)







Secondary

NamePosHt, Wt2013
Year
RivalsGPTackles% of TeamTFLSacksIntPBUFFFR
Shamarko ThomasSS1375.010.8%3.512031
Jeremi WilkesFS5'9, 179Sr.*** (5.6)1354.07.8%0.501310
Keon LynCB6'1, 201Sr.** (5.3)1341.05.9%303710
Ri'Shard AndersonCB6'0, 190Sr.*** (5.5)1337.05.3%101200
Durell EskridgeSS6'3, 207So.*** (5.5)1331.04.5%320311
Brandon ReddishCB5'11, 186Jr.*** (5.6)1229.54.2%4.511220
Ritchy DesirSS5'11, 187Jr.*** (5.7)1320.52.9%000100
Wayne MorganFS5'10, 197So.*** (5.7)1310.51.5%100000
Jaston GeorgeCB5'10, 175So.** (5.3)111.50.2%000000
Joe NassibCB5'9, 180Sr.NR120.50.1%000000
Julian WhighamCB6'1, 187So.*** (5.5)

Darius KellyDB5'10, 190Jr.** (5.4)






9. Experience isn't always a good thing, Part 101

Syracuse had a top-40 pass rush but ranked just 72nd in Passing S&P+. That tells you the secondary might have had some issues. The linebackers didn't make a ton of plays against the pass, and aside from corner Keon Lyn (10 passes defensed), nobody in the secondary was very successfully aggressive overall. Shafer utilized some tight coverage, which resulted in quite a few tackles for loss -- Lyn had three, Brandon Reddish had 4.5 -- but in all, the misses were as big as the hits for this defense.

In this way, the fact that Syracuse returns almost everybody in the secondary isn't necessarily a good thing. Some new blood might be nice, and while reasonably highly touted understudies like Wayne Morgan and Ritchy Desir will play a larger role this year, the rotation is pretty much set unless a JUCO transfer like Darius Kelly can crack the rotation. There could be some marginal year-to-year development here, but what we saw last year is approximately what we'll see this year.

Special Teams

PunterHt, Wt2013
Year
PuntsAvgTBFCI20FC/I20
Ratio
Jonathan Fisher6'1, 209Jr.5039.22151764.0%
Riley Dixon6'5, 208So.336.32000.0%
KickerHt, Wt2013
Year
KickoffsAvgTBTB%
Ryan Norton5'11, 179So.7361.200.0%
Place-KickerHt, Wt2013
Year
PATFG
(0-39)
PctFG
(40+)
Pct
Ross Krautman5'7, 160Sr.43-4312-1675.0%3-742.9%
ReturnerPos.Ht, Wt2013
Year
ReturnsAvg.TD
Jeremiah KobenaKR6'0, 182Jr.2119.70
Steve ReneKR5'7, 187Sr.921.40
Ritchy DesirPR5'11, 187Jr.205.30
Steve RenePR5'7, 187Sr.80.10
CategoryRk
Special Teams F/+87
Net Punting118
Net Kickoffs40
Touchback Pct43
Field Goal Pct82
Kick Returns Avg108
Punt Returns Avg112

2013 Schedule & Projection Factors

2013 Schedule
DateOpponentProj. Rk
31-Augvs. Penn State24
7-Sepat Northwestern40
14-SepWagnerNR
21-SepTulane119
5-OctClemson20
12-Octat N.C. State61
19-Octat Georgia Tech32
2-NovWake Forest81
9-Novat Maryland83
16-Novat Florida State19
23-NovPittsburgh35
30-NovBoston College69
Five-Year F/+ Rk68
Two-Year Recruiting Rk72
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin*-2 / -2.7
TO Luck/Game0.3
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.)13 (6, 7)
Yds/Pt Margin**+0.6

10. This feels right

It's hard to know what to make of this team. There are potential stars at running back and linebacker, and there is at least one stellar receiver in the rotation, but the quarterback position is a question mark, the offensive line loses its two best players, the defensive line got thinned out quite a bit, and the secondary is still a bit of a mystery. (The special teams unit is experienced but wasn't that good last year, either.)

I do know this, though: This schedule feels good. Start with Penn State at MetLife Stadium, end with Pitt and Boston College? That feels like a Syracuse schedule. There is certainly a pair marquee games (Clemson, at Florida State), but the schedule is not only sensible, but navigable. Six 2013 opponents are projected worse than 60th, and Syracuse could be favorite in every home game but one (Clemson).

The odds of a third bowl in four years are pretty good. For some who grew up with Syracuse setting a much higher bar, that might not seem like any great shakes. But for the Syracuse of the last decade, that's not a bad place to be. Doug Marrone left the 'Cuse job better than he found it, and his replacement could end up winning a few games in his first season.

More from SB Nation:

The developing Johnny Manziel autographs scandal

Official Coaches Poll Top 25 is out, led by Alabama and the SEC

Photos of Oregon’s insane new football facility

Bill Connelly’s Big Ten preview series is complete

Projecting every 2013 college football conference race

Today’s college football news headlines

2013 Mizzou Walkthrough: Marcus Lucas could be one hell of a No. 2 target

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Marcus Lucas

#85 | 6'5, 220, Sr. | Liberty, MO

2010: 5 targets, 3 catches (60%), 23 yards (4.6/target), 0 TD

2011: 39 targets, 23 catches (59%), 414 yards (10.6/target), 5 TD

2012: 84 targets, 47 catches (56%), 534 yards (6.4/target), 3 TD

Bill C.: Marcus Lucas picked the wrong time to struggle. At a time when Mizzou was desperate for someone to step up in the passing game -- with shaky options at quarterback, with a porous offensive line still trying to figure things out (and find a lineup that doesn't have to change every week) -- Lucas started dropping passes. It was particularly notable against Vanderbilt. James Franklin sprained his MCL, Dorial Green-Beckham was suspended, and Corbin Berkstresser needed a go-to guy; and Lucas caught four of 12 passes for 54 yards.

Because his failures were so visible and ill-timed, a couple of games defined the season for Lucas. But he looked pretty good late in the year. We give DGB the credit for the Tennessee win, but Lucas' tiptoeing, third-down touchdown in the second overtime was every bit as vital as what DGB did. And four of his five catches in that game came in the second half or overtime.

Marcus Lucas isn't as physically blessed as DGB, but no one is. He is a big target with solid ball skills and good enough speed. He was a four-star receiver in high school, and we saw why, especially in 2011. If DGB does more DGB things this year, then Lucas could be one hell of a No. 2 target. He wasn't ready to be a No. 1 in 2012, but he might not have to be this fall.

MizzouRugby: Hopefully for Lucas, the case of alligator arms that plagued him last year will subside, and he will once again show his talent as a big, physical WR. If not, well, he may be a starter in name only.

The Beef: Lucas has a great chance to make people forget the slow ascension which did not befit his recruiting ranking if he comes through with a great year for the Tigers. But at this point, I just dont know what weapon number he will be (assuming DGB will be weapon #1 per much of the off-season talk).

countrycal: Marcus seemed to me to be made to order for Berkstresser’s fastballs, but they just didn’t seem to gel and he let too many catchable balls get past him last year. He is going to have to prove he can catch the ball consistently or he may find himself odd man out this year with all the talent around him. Here’s hoping he and Franklin make a connection and he has a great season and puts to rest past problems.

D-Sing: Lucas will have to keep his eyes on the ball if he wants to make an impact this season. Otherwise he won’t see the field. I think it’s that simple. There’s enough other talent that he could easily slip down the depth chart. I like to think that the spot as the starting "X" receiver is his to lose with a very slim margin for error. I think we will find out very quickly this season if Lucas will make the impact that we’ve been expecting for some time now.

Advanced Baseline: Updated men's tennis rankings (August 8)

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Hard court season began in July, basically, but with a healthy portion of clay-court action mixed in. And basically nothing changed among the men's top 20.

Full top 500 below. Some thoughts:

  • Yes, Roger Federer is still third. The drawbacks of a system that pulls in a healthy, lengthy sample size (which results in the most predictive success overall) is that sudden regression doesn't make much of an impact. If the back injury continues to be a problem, and if he takes a while to get used to the new racket, then he'll fall. (And it's worth pointing out that he's almost as close to No. 6 as No. 2.)
  • Juan Martin del Potro is going to be a land mine in whichever U.S. Open region he lands. It's likely that the top four seeds will be Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray, David Ferrer, and Rafael Nadal (??), with del Potro landing around fifth or sixth; the 2009 U.S. Open champion, who has had a solid summer, could be the favorite in the Ferrer Region, or he could be an epic impediment in one of the other three. (Other names to watch when the bracket is revealed: Stan Wawrinka, Kei Nishikori, and Kevin Anderson.)
  • Tommy Haas just keeps on trucking.
  • Your top 15 Americans according to the hard court rankings:
    13. John Isner (last month: 16)
    17. Mardy Fish (N/A)
    24. Sam Querrey (22)
    34. Ryan Harrison (45)
    49. James Blake (41)
    57. Bobby Reynolds (66)
    68. Tim Smyczek (75)
    76. Michael Russell (73)
    81. Wayne Odesnik (105)
    87. Jack Sock (68)
    93. Steve Johnson (90)
    103. Denis Kudla (81)
    105. Alex Kuznetsov (183)
    119. Bradley Klahn (117)
    122. Donald Young (80)

    Isner has had a solid hard court season thus far, as have players like Ryan Harrison, Wayne Odesnik, and Alex Kuznetsov. And hey! Mardy Fish is back! Honestly, depending (heavily) on the draw, there are quite a few American men who could make a fun run through the first week of the tournament. But really, there's only one (Isner) capable of reaching the quarterfinals or semis. Luckily, there are plenty of fun story lines that don't involve American males, I guess.
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
1Novak DjokovicSRB1.23110211
2Rafael NadalESP1.18320134
3Roger FedererSUI1.15130443
4Andy MurrayGBR1.13840822
5David FerrerESP1.12350366
6Juan Martin Del PotroARG1.10060555
7Tomas BerdychCZE1.07570977
8Jo-Wilfried TsongaFRA1.036801288
9Tommy HaasGER1.030901599
10Richard GasquetFRA1.026100131210
11Stanislas WawrinkaSUI1.00711061014
12Nicolas AlmagroESP0.98712072115
13Marin CilicCRO0.985130191411
14Kei NishikoriJPN0.978140171113
15Milos RaonicCAN0.963150361623
16Kevin AndersonRSA0.955160281518
17Mikhail YouzhnyRUS0.952170182912
18Gael MonfilsFRA0.932224162019
19Philipp KohlschreiberGER0.929201243017
20Juan MonacoARG0.92819-1145337
21Ernests GulbisLAT0.925210371933
22Radek StepanekCZE0.924231222722
23Tommy RobredoESP0.920307104234
24Grigor DimitrovBUL0.911339232227
25Janko TipsarevicSRB0.91118-7422532
26John IsnerUSA0.909271491330
27Gilles SimonFRA0.90824-3272336
28David NalbandianARG0.904280465138
29Lleyton HewittAUS0.903356733716
30Jarkko NieminenFIN0.902344474350
31Andreas SeppiITA0.896321294429
32Fernando VerdascoESP0.89526-6254728
33Mardy FishUSA0.895N/AN/A881725
34Fabio FogniniITA0.8944511114639
35Michael LlodraFRA0.89431-4676124
36Sam QuerreyUSA0.89025-11662445
37Benoit PaireFRA0.888403213240
38Julien BenneteauFRA0.88637-1613642
39Florian MayerGER0.885412323931
40Bernard TomicAUS0.88439-1781826
41Feliciano LopezESP0.88336-5453320
42Nikolay DavydenkoRUS0.87929-13604057
43Jerzy JanowiczPOL0.87542-1266035
44Ivan DodigCRO0.87443-1714141
45Carlos BerlocqARG0.865494344858
46Marcos BaghdatisCYP0.8604601032848
47Alexandr DolgopolovUKR0.85638-9335047
48Marcel GranollersESP0.84947-1206656
49Nicolas MahutFRA0.8455121119421
50Jeremy ChardyFRA0.84444-6505846
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
51Yen-Hsun LuTPE0.838543973854
52Santiago GiraldoCOL0.83648-4566265
53Xavier MalisseBEL0.83552-11096943
54Denis IstominUZB0.834606993152
55Albert RamosESP0.83350-5317963
56Viktor TroickiSRB0.83253-3595955
57Roberto Bautista-AgutESP0.832581705260
58Dmitry TursunovRUS0.8296241102649
59Igor SijslingNED0.82555-4767561
60Robin HaaseNED0.8257515357368
61Paul-Henri MathieuFRA0.82356-5918066
62Daniel BrandsGER0.823631489664
63James BlakeUSA0.81957-612349105
64David GoffinBEL0.8197814795469
65Jurgen MelzerAUT0.81861-4965662
66Filippo VolandriITA0.81865-14014773
67Edouard Roger-VasselinFRA0.81359-88510877
68Guillermo Garcia-LopezESP0.812702538374
69Tobias KamkeGER0.8117128110071
70Thomaz BellucciBRA0.81064-63910278
71Martin KlizanSVK0.80981103811475
72Steve DarcisBEL0.80867-56811859
73Ryan HarrisonUSA0.8087741003476
74Albert MontanesESP0.80668-63016094
75Marinko MatosevicAUS0.8068051183570
76Olivier RochusBEL0.80566-101257767
77Aljaz BedeneSLO0.80572-56210487
78Victor HanescuROU0.8038464312681
79Grega ZemljaSLO0.80269-10846453
80Ivo KarlovicCRO0.80293131577144
81Jiri VeselyCZE0.802832638588
82Federico DelbonisARG0.798108264111595
83Julian ReisterGER0.79673-105513279
84Dudi SelaISR0.792102181644599
85Lukas RosolCZE0.79274-11758297
86Pablo Carreno-BustaESP0.790915547086
87Daniel Gimeno-TraverESP0.78889251113117
88Leonardo MayerARG0.787946526783
89Steve JohnsonUSA0.78688-11289393
90Jack SockUSA0.78496611287111
91Benjamin BeckerGER0.78482-91779051
92Sergiy StakhovskyUKR0.78376-161767272
93Guillaume RufinFRA0.78292-1839280
94Pablo AndujarESP0.780100644145121
95Lukasz KubotPOL0.77985-109212192
96Michael RussellUSA0.7791061019276102
97Ricardas BerankisLTU0.77979-1813878100
98Thiemo de BakkerNED0.778109116495110
99Michael BerrerGER0.7771078119124109
100Matthias BachingerGER0.77799-111791134
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
101Cedrik-Marcel StebeGER0.77687-1410110798
102Paolo LorenziITA0.77690-127299123
103Alejandro FallaCOL0.775127241048985
104Mikhail KukushkinKAZ0.774103-19586118
105Jan HajekCZE0.773111658125112
106Somdev DevvarmanIND0.7731191310663137
107Tim SmyczekUSA0.770120131606891
108Andrey KuznetsovRUS0.770104-49014496
109Jesse LevineCAN0.76997-12147153107
110Lukas LackoSVK0.7691166206101119
111Adrian MannarinoFRA0.768126151858882
112Horacio ZeballosARG0.76895-1757106124
113Evgeny DonskoyRUS0.7651185102128114
114Bobby ReynoldsUSA0.76311511745784
115Ruben BemelmansBEL0.763113-217514389
116Kenny de SchepperFRA0.762105-11149154101
117Gilles MullerLUX0.76198-1916574128
118Wayne OdesnikUSA0.761121312181127
119Alex Bogomolov, Jr.RUS0.760110-919655136
120Simone BolelliITA0.760112-865142108
121Joao SousaPOR0.7591472687110104
122Teymuraz GabashviliRUS0.759101-21107134130
123Denis KudlaUSA0.759114-9143103115
124Blaz KavcicSLO0.7561411777116140
125Jan-Lennard StruffGER0.7551305133149113
126Jesse Huta GalungNED0.7541421686136129
127Philipp PetzschnerGER0.753117-10194130106
128Frank DancevicCAN0.753128021884122
129Potito StaraceITA0.752123-698226148
130Ruben Ramirez-HidalgoESP0.749122-893190144
131Dusan LajovicSRB0.749124-789155155
132Mischa ZverevGER0.7481331217133142
133Marc GicquelFRA0.7471385136188147
134Pere RibaESP0.7461501669159149
135Martin FischerAUT0.743132-3145131131
136Daniel Munoz-De La NavaESP0.74314610124141132
137Matthew EbdenAUS0.742131-620798103
138Stephane RobertFRA0.7421435114168125
139Robby GinepriUSA0.741136-3227173167
140Marius CopilROU0.741129-11191176138
141Peter GojowczykGER0.741139-2153161143
142Andreas Haider-MaurerAUT0.7391521074163151
143Adrian UngurROU0.738140-382203153
144Vasek PospisilCAN0.738153918965133
145Paul CapdevilleCHI0.738137-8108112170
146Bjorn PhauGER0.735125-21187111154
147Donald YoungUSA0.735134-13186122182
148Rik de VoestRSA0.734144-4273184146
149Stephane BohliSUI0.7331512283156172
150Alex KuznetsovUSA0.73216313170105116
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
151Illya MarchenkoUKR0.732135-16223138168
152Jan HernychCZE0.732145-723718090
153Bradley KlahnUSA0.73016815214119171
154Malek JaziriTUN0.7281617156139135
155Rhyne WilliamsUSA0.728148-7167191159
156Ilija BozoljacSRB0.728149-7162140145
157Karol BeckSVK0.72617013269164126
158Filip KrajinovicSRB0.724154-4163187166
159Go SoedaJPN0.721158-122497141
160Andrey GolubevKAZ0.7191644131172185
161Bastian KnittelGER0.719157-4188219156
162Guido PellaARG0.71817311105177206
163Ryan SweetingUSA0.717155-8182166183
164Dustin BrownGER0.717159-5179179120
165Marco ChiudinelliSUI0.71618318241123201
166Miloslav MecirSVK0.7151671203171175
167John MillmanAUS0.7151758225137162
168Florent SerraFRA0.7151691161148174
169Gastao EliasPOR0.7141745130151177
170Rajeev RamUSA0.7141788246182160
171Jimmy WangTPE0.713160-11255120139
172Rogerio Dutra SilvaBRA0.7131720155167190
173Evgeny KorolevKAZ0.713165-8152197169
174Andrej MartinSVK0.7131817137127180
175Andreas BeckGER0.711171-4113199158
176James DuckworthAUS0.71120428150146161
177Joao SouzaBRA0.711166-11115200187
178Javier MartiESP0.709176-2129186163
179Rui MachadoPOR0.7081823139223196
180Dominik MeffertGER0.7071844144224178
181Simon GreulGER0.706156-25151213173
182Facundo ArguelloARG0.706179-3122212164
183Matteo ViolaITA0.7051918132192188
184Jurgen ZoppEST0.704162-22159196181
185Michal PrzysieznyPOL0.7031850173201157
186Josselin OuannaFRA0.7021893234178198
187Damir DzumhurBIH0.70220013195208179
188Aleksandr NedovesovUKR0.7011935158202186
189Yuichi SugitaJPN0.700177-12261169176
190James WardGBR0.70022030215157165
191Daniel EvansGBR0.69721322184193192
192Guido AndreozziARG0.6961942140232194
193Thomas FabbianoITA0.69522229142150199
194Facundo BagnisARG0.695186-8127234203
195Maximo GonzalezARG0.695187-880240212
196Flavio CipollaITA0.693180-16220183219
197Jan MertlCZE0.692196-1274211226
198Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanARG0.692190-8120228197
199Adrian Menendez-MaceirasESP0.69121112209117202
200Tatsuma ItoJPN0.690198-2251170191
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
201Samuel GrothAUS0.68823736254162150
202Dominic ThiemAUT0.688195-7154230193
203Martin AlundARG0.688192-11116260209
204Jaroslav PospisilCZE0.686188-16208229210
205Maxime TeixeiraFRA0.6852050181235184
206Andre GhemBRA0.685202-4180215222
207Di WuCHN0.6852169265135214
208Victor CrivoiROU0.6852080134269231
209Tim PuetzGER0.683206-3248270204
210Michael LinzerAUT0.68222616169220205
211Alberto BrizziITA0.6822121168253207
212Amir WeintraubISR0.6812142266109217
213Simone VagnozziITA0.6812196199271225
214Farrukh DustovUZB0.681199-15172243224
215Maxime AuthomBEL0.680197-18244280195
216Matteo TrevisanITA0.6802237146262208
217Lamine OuahabALG0.679201-16171251234
218Prakash AmritrajIND0.678N/AN/A284206152
219Blaz RolaSLO0.67825940135259211
220Alejandro GonzalezCOL0.6772311194216220
221Ze ZhangCHN0.676218-3258195200
222Antonio VeicCRO0.675210-12126242244
223Pierre-Hugues HerbertFRA0.675221-2278221228
224Austin KrajicekUSA0.67423814242204221
225Uladzimir IgnatikBLR0.674203-22315207247
226Greg JonesAUS0.6722271247158248
227Marsel IlhanTUR0.6722336243152227
228Victor EstrellaDOM0.67125224166175243
229Henri LaaksonenSUI0.67024617210227215
230Jonathan Dasnieres de VeigyFRA0.670215-15178265229
231Igor AndreevRUS0.670209-22198218242
232Denys MolchanovUKR0.670225-7291185241
233Arnau Brugues-DaviESP0.670217-16332165245
234Konstantin KravchukRUS0.670232-2373181236
235Roberto Carballes BaenaESP0.669224-11200257255
236Peter PolanskyCAN0.6692437323189250
237Jamie BakerGBR0.667228-9287237216
238Marco CecchinatoITA0.66427133190254233
239Tennys SandgrenUSA0.66427435297205213
240Taro DanielJPN0.6642455253210235
241John-Patrick SmithAUS0.66325312295209238
242Gianluca NasoITA0.662234-8204309237
243Lucas PouilleFRA0.66227633233252218
244Alessio di MauroITA0.662235-9197244275
245Boris PashanskiSRB0.662239-6226363223
246Nick KyrgiosGRE0.6602515259174259
247Ivo MinarCZE0.660236-11212258269
248Radu AlbotMDA0.660242-6249129266
249David GuezFRA0.66026011271214261
250Attila BalazsHUN0.65928232141295239
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
251Romain JouanFRA0.658240-11262283240
252Norbert GombosSVK0.6562575219289246
253Pedro SousaPOR0.656247-6235278258
254Dusan LojdaCZE0.655248-6256342279
255Niels DeseinBEL0.6532561252264281
256Alex BogdanovicGBR0.653241-15327368232
257Gerald MelzerAUT0.651249-8240297249
258Yannick MertensBEL0.6512679264241278
259Walter TrusendiITA0.6512612294332252
260Pavol CervenakSVK0.65127010236357284
261Alessandro GiannessiITA0.65028625148287263
262Riccardo BellottiITA0.6502664238238253
263Thomas SchoorelNED0.65028421201277290
264Julio-Cesar CampozanoECU0.6492695257233254
265Mirza BasicBIH0.649264-1311299268
266Daniele GiorginiITA0.648244-22275346256
267Marton FucsovicsHUN0.64828922304247257
268James McgeeIRL0.64827911388198289
269Andis JuskaLAT0.647254-15309489295
270Sergio Gutierrez-FerrolESP0.646250-20211322293
271Vincent MillotFRA0.646258-13277249296
272Christian HarrisonUSA0.64529826344261285
273Igor KunitsynRUS0.645255-18362217251
274Nils LangerGER0.645268-6270268265
275Lorenzo GiustinoITA0.6442805221248267
276Matwe MiddelkoopNED0.643262-14213315262
277Danai UdomchokeTHA0.642263-14378245280
278Jason Murray KublerAUS0.641277-1281303297
279Steven DiezCAN0.641272-7250276273
280Chris GuccioneAUS0.64030424324250354
281Alexander KudryavtsevRUS0.640275-6290194314
282Jeremy JahnGER0.640N/AN/A286352274
283Kristijan MesarosCRO0.63834057216353271
284Kimmer CoppejansBEL0.63832642245222302
285Germain GigounonBEL0.637278-7263272282
286Jonathan EyssericFRA0.6372926239316308
287Andrea ArnaboldiITA0.6362936193319286
288Dzmitry ZhyrmontBLR0.6362946310296230
289Kyle EdmundGBR0.6352978298326276
290Guilherme ClezarBRA0.63430313260292306
291Steven MonekeGER0.634288-3300361288
292Aldin SetkicBIH0.6342964306298322
293Albano OlivettiFRA0.63334653415274291
294Jordi Samper-MontanaESP0.631283-11296307315
295Ivan SergeyevUKR0.631273-22222246319
296Marc SieberGER0.631285-11305327298
297Arthur De GreefBEL0.63130710307256283
298Hiroki MoriyaJPN0.63132527371225270
299Boy WesterhofNED0.63131011228281311
300Ivan NavarroESP0.630290-10313321260
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
301Daniel KosakowskiUSA0.630287-14354301300
302Daniel CoxGBR0.6303064423312327
303Izak van der MerweRSA0.629295-8402310189
304Alexander WardGBR0.62832016285308312
305Edward CorrieGBR0.6283127347305328
306Marco TrungellitiARG0.628281-25205356316
307Michael LammerSUI0.628300-7385263326
308Carlos SalamancaCOL0.627299-9232421364
309Frederik NielsenDEN0.626291-18391336299
310Sanam SinghIND0.626265-45366293336
311Andrea CollariniARG0.62632716268318345
312Agustin VelottiARG0.62632412230325304
313Gerard GranollersESP0.6253141292236307
314Guillermo OlasoESP0.6253184231323309
315Sandro EhratSUI0.6253172377329310
316Andres MolteniARG0.6243193333384334
317Eduardo SchwankARG0.62434124202371348
318Frederico GilPOR0.624301-17339284361
319Grzegorz PanfilPOL0.62335435229348329
320Matt ReidAUS0.622315-5314302292
321Artem SmirnovUKR0.622313-8272304371
322Brydan KleinAUS0.6203231409349277
323Tsung-Hua YangTPE0.6203296301231360
324Michael YaniUSA0.620305-19364288340
325Marin BradaricCRO0.61938661326392321
326Moritz BaumannGER0.618311-15329373324
327Nicolas RenavandFRA0.617308-19346383359
328Fabrice MartinFRA0.617322-6478345378
329Jozef KovalikSVK0.616328-1321286347
330Gregoire BurquierFRA0.6163300422374343
331Gianluigi QuinziITA0.61634312335338272
332Benjamin BalleretMON0.6163342349396320
333Matthew BartonAUS0.614321-12401275356
334Franco SkugorCRO0.6143373267239380
335Benjamin MitchellAUS0.61436732418255369
336Kamil CapkovicSVK0.61340165325375331
337Enrico BurziITA0.61334912331405330
338Yuki BhambriIND0.613309-29342294375
339Adam FeeneyAUS0.613332-7490343383
340Florian ReynetFRA0.613335-5448366333
341Tak Khunn WangFRA0.61335716337404335
342Tom FarquharsonGBR0.612N/AN/A392360305
343Thiago AlvesBRA0.611302-41345282362
344Bjorn FratangeloUSA0.611333-11289422339
345Dino MarcanCRO0.6113483316417287
346Saketh-Sai MyneniIND0.611345-1425313341
347Tihomir GrozdanovBUL0.611316-31312369342
348Jose StathamNZL0.6103524396382382
349Nikola MekticCRO0.610331-18328411365
350Riccardo GhedinITA0.609338-12372328264
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
351Mate DelicCRO0.60836211375320377
352Marc RathAUT0.60736513380435346
353Thiago Moura MonteiroBRA0.60739037318330351
354Renzo OlivoARG0.607342-12183402357
355Jose Checa-CalvoESP0.606339-16299395379
356Jeff DadamoUSA0.6053648412358350
357Axel MichonFRA0.605356-1282466352
358Mohamed SafwatEGY0.60437315359306353
359Mathieu RodriguesFRA0.6043601451403368
360Christian GarinCHI0.60438727320390332
361Jorge AguilarCHI0.604353-8317399387
362Yannik ReuterBEL0.60337917370291358
363Antoine BenneteauFRA0.603355-8443407409
364Joshua GoodallGBR0.603336-28475420317
365Dimitar KutrovskyBUL0.602358-7469448363
366Mitchell KruegerUSA0.60238014363351294
367Filip PeliwoCAN0.60239326433333313
368Miljan ZekicSRB0.602359-9280378366
369Leonardo KircheBRA0.602363-6303499391
370Alexander LobkovRUS0.602344-26382385367
371Marcin GawronPOL0.601350-21431347370
372Yu ChangCHN0.600368-4381414372
373David RiceGBR0.59940027454314303
374Hans Podlipnik-CastilloCHI0.599370-4353469376
375Marcel FelderURU0.59938914365331338
376David SoutoVEN0.5983760397266418
377Juan-Sebastian CabalCOL0.597372-5279506373
378Diego JunqueiraARG0.597361-17361434398
379Laurent RecoudercFRA0.597374-5427340384
380Adrien BosselSUI0.597366-14393484301
381Richard BeckerGER0.5963854293393385
382Laurynas GrigelisLTU0.596347-35404425403
383Gregory OuelletteUSA0.59642744482337381
384Suk-Young JeongKOR0.596382-2387334386
385Ricardo HocevarBRA0.5953949358311374
386Nicolas MeisterUSA0.59440822386324388
387Luka GregorcSLO0.594381-6450341452
388Alexey VatutinRUS0.59439911384408389
389Toni AndroicCRO0.594371-18369461390
390Pablo GaldonARG0.594369-21389388412
391Michal KonecnyCZE0.59341524542377318
392Gianni MinaFRA0.592388-4445387413
393Ashley HewittGBR0.59241017276409406
394Maximilian NeuchristAUT0.59240915429290394
395Jules MarieFRA0.5923961411344396
396Kevin KrawietzGER0.59140711330424420
397Devin BrittonUSA0.591377-20500317393
398Fritz WolmaransRSA0.59142022405380395
399Salvatore CarusoITA0.59043839350359399
400Roberto MarcoraITA0.5904066340436401
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
401Erik ChvojkaCAN0.59041413557367392
402Ivan BjelicaSRB0.59041715322447402
403Philipp OswaldAUT0.589398-5383397453
404Yong-Kyu LimKOR0.589402-2486267404
405Peter TorebkoGER0.589378-27343464337
406Carlos Gomez-HerreraESP0.58841913357501405
407Stefan SeifertGER0.58842922432509422
408Laurent RochetteFRA0.587403-5288412424
409Vladimir UzhylovskyUKR0.5874123465453407
410Marek SemjanSVK0.587375-35376372431
411Alexis MusialekFRA0.586N/AN/A439391408
412Alex BoltAUS0.58642210501381344
413Nikola CiricSRB0.586395-18308467450
414Leandro MiganiARG0.586411-3368449410
415Dennis NevoloUSA0.585N/AN/A509433411
416Richard BloomfieldGBR0.585383-33474513397
417Yann MartiSUI0.58546245336394457
418Jan MinarCZE0.584384-34519428439
419Jan SatralCZE0.58443213419423414
420Stefano TravagliaITA0.58345737302455417
421Chase BuchananUSA0.583404-17367528467
422Hiroki KondoJPN0.58345028470426323
423Joris De LooreBEL0.58345128398398355
424Josko TopicCRO0.58243713348485454
425Michael McCluneUSA0.582391-34498285451
426Reid CarletonUSA0.5824282457431419
427James LemkeAUS0.582418-9360445349
428Eric QuigleyUSA0.582416-12485475435
429Edoardo EreminITA0.581405-24436495421
430Andre BegemannGER0.580421-9351451448
431Luke SavilleAUS0.579392-39505471430
432Dane PropoggiaAUS0.5794419407463437
433Theodoros AngelinosGRE0.57947037355415423
434Robin KernGER0.57944915442503416
435Ti ChenTPE0.57944611522339445
436Marc GinerESP0.577426-10356483426
437Adrian SikoraSVK0.57745215403416427
438Colin EbelthiteAUS0.577424-14461376449
439Mathias BourgueFRA0.577423-16483364469
440Michael VenusNZL0.57745414463406428
441Danilo PetrovicSRB0.5774454341429429
442Julien ObryFRA0.57645513390440432
443Darian KingBAR0.57648643479335433
444Nicolas ReissigAUT0.576443-1395511434
445Fabiano De PaulaBRA0.575430-15319459466
446Cheong-Eui KimKOR0.5744482459300436
447Victor BaludaRUS0.574434-13440446438
448Jason JungUSA0.57446012458443483
449Miliaan NiestenNED0.573439-10497355440
450Markus ErikssonSWE0.5734566413490442
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
451Maximiliano EstevezARG0.57346716352362443
452Sherif SabryEGY0.573431-21417444444
453Fernando RomboliBRA0.573425-28435427473
454Marek MichalickaCZE0.572433-21487481446
455Carsten BallAUS0.572436-19394457458
456Oliver GoldingGBR0.571440-16456452447
457Marcus WillisGBR0.57150144437541325
458Marcelo DemolinerBRA0.570442-16406486468
459Petru-Alexandru LuncanuROU0.5704612502518472
460Adam PavlasekCZE0.5704666428472455
461Luca VanniITA0.56948120430401456
462Ricardo RodriguezVEN0.56948018408442459
463Miguel Gallardo-VallesMEX0.56847512601386497
464Teodor-Dacian CraciunROU0.56849127420470461
465Enrique Lopez-PerezESP0.56748318434458462
466Patricio HerasARG0.56751549338400463
467Peter HellerGER0.5674747488535465
468Daniel SmethurstGBR0.5664724441476519
469Alexander BuryBLR0.566447-22476493400
470Juan-Pablo AmadoARG0.566435-35455525496
471Toshihide MatsuiJPN0.5654710517544489
472Julio SilvaBRA0.564463-9452591526
473Dimitar KuzmanovBUL0.5644796536354470
474Julien DubailBEL0.564469-5559529471
475Liang-Chi HuangTPE0.5634849464379464
476Dennis NovakAUT0.563N/AN/A379498481
477Artem SitakNZL0.563453-24580480502
478Maxim DubarencoMDA0.56352648399500475
479Federico GaioITA0.56250324374510476
480Marcelo ArevaloESA0.561473-7467516479
481Dennis ZivkovicUSA0.561476-5550542491
482Filip HoranskySVK0.561464-18503389478
483Martin VaisseFRA0.560458-25561439482
484Andres Artunedo MartinavarrESP0.56051127575273508
485Liam BroadyGBR0.56052843524526425
486Bruno Sant'AnnaBRA0.559477-9494482498
487Nikoloz BasilashviliGEO0.559468-19449468484
488Christopher RungkatINA0.559459-29551465521
489Jose HernandezDOM0.5584923410456485
490Daniel King-TurnerNZL0.558465-25529508490
491Takanyi GarangangaZIM0.55750514569279494
492Roman BorvanovMDA0.556487-5471413522
493Jeevan NedunchezhiyanIND0.5564930499573509
494Juan LizariturryESP0.55650410446558487
495Alexandre SidorenkoFRA0.555485-10582530506
496Pedja KrstinSRB0.55352731508517513
497Jose PereiraBRA0.553494-3421487492
498Zhe LiCHN0.553489-9558454493
499Nikola CacicSRB0.553488-11549502495
500Siarhei BetauBEL0.551499-1491634499

Advanced Baseline: Updated women's tennis rankings (August 8)

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Some thoughts on the women's rankings, which, like the men's, didn't change much in July.

  • As she proved against Vika Azarenka last week, Sam Stosur, the 2011 U.S. Open champion (?), is still a threat on hard courts. She is the women's Juan Martin del Potro, capable of not only taking down one of the top four seeds, but of quickly becoming the favorite in one of the regions.
  • Venus Williams has clearly cracked the code. (Actually, she's just benefiting from a small sample size of results at the moment. If she continues to struggle with injuries, she will fall quickly.)
  • The top eight players all represent different countries. Fun.
  • To understand how far the top three are ahead of everybody else, let's break things into ranges based on the Base Rank:

    >1.900: Serena
    1.700-1.900: Azarenka, Sharapova
    1.500-1.700: Radwanska, Na
    1.300-1.500: Errani, Stosur, Kerber, Williams, Ivanovic, Kvitova, Wozniacki
    1.100-1.300: Kanepi, Kirilenko, Vinci, Bartoli, Makarova, Lisicki, Halep, Petrova, Kuznetsova, Cibulkova, Jankovic, Petkovic, Vesnina, Stephens, Barthel, Safarova, Hampton, Hantuchova, Keys, Shvedova

    Wimbledon was the exception, not the rule. The ruling class still rules.
  • Your top 15 American women according to hard court rank:
    1. Serena Williams (last month: 1)
    8. Venus Williams (8)
    20. Jamie Hampton (21)
    33. Madison Keys (36)
    34. Sloane Stephens (29)
    45. Varvara Lepchenko (46)
    58. Bethanie Mattek-Sands (45)
    65. Christina McHale (49)
    68. Vania King (54)
    70. Coco Vandeweghe (106)
    74. Shelby Rogers (142)
    75. Mallory Burdette (68)
    84. Nicole Gibbs (134)
    85. Lauren Davis (100)
    104. Alison Riske (146)

    Jamie Hampton's had a nice year. It could get a lot nicer in New York.
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
1Serena WilliamsUSA2.06210111
2Victoria AzarenkaBLR1.85320322
3Maria SharapovaRUS1.77930233
4Agnieszka RadwanskaPOL1.51640554
5Na LiCHN1.50650645
6Sara ErraniITA1.390824713
7Samantha StosurAUS1.3766-17610
8Angelique KerberGER1.3667-11399
9Venus WilliamsUSA1.346901887
10Ana IvanovicSRB1.33010091116
11Petra KvitovaCZE1.322121161611
12Caroline WozniackiDEN1.31611-1251014
13Kaia KanepiEST1.279130112317
14Maria KirilenkoRUS1.257151191322
15Roberta VinciITA1.247172101215
16Marion BartoliFRA1.24716040176
17Ekaterina MakarovaRUS1.233203241512
18Sabine LisickiGER1.23318021248
19Simona HalepROU1.23123481818
20Nadia PetrovaRUS1.22619-1292520
21Svetlana KuznetsovaRUS1.22214-7152126
22Dominika CibulkovaSVK1.218242221421
23Jelena JankovicSRB1.20821-2122625
24Andrea PetkovicGER1.19722-2142227
25Elena VesninaRUS1.186250261919
26Sloane StephensUSA1.120271283429
27Mona BarthelGER1.112281443235
28Lucie SafarovaCZE1.11226-2324638
29Jamie HamptonUSA1.106312382033
30Daniela HantuchovaSVK1.103344523930
31Madison KeysUSA1.100321563331
32Yaroslava ShvedovaKAZ1.10029-3375732
33Carla Suarez NavarroESP1.09930-3204034
34Petra CetkovskaCZE1.090362232724
35Laura RobsonGBR1.081350593637
36Klara ZakopalovaCZE1.080393274128
37Magdalena RybarikovaSVK1.080425532836
38Bethanie Mattek-SandsUSA1.07933-5315841
39Kirsten FlipkensBEL1.07737-2513023
40Flavia PennettaITA1.058411414344
41Monica NiculescuROU1.05138-3913847
42Shuai PengCHN1.03940-2503543
43Varvara LepchenkoUSA1.026463304566
44Romina OprandiSUI1.024440424940
45Urszula RadwanskaPOL1.023472793139
46Francesca SchiavoneITA1.008504366655
47Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaRUS1.002481642959
48Garbine MuguruzaESP1.002535495146
49Julia GoergesGER1.00043-6467352
50Alize CornetFRA0.990577474748
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
51Christina McHaleUSA0.98945-6676550
52Ayumi MoritaJPN0.987520765065
53Polona HercogSLO0.9867421179561
54Mallory BurdetteUSA0.98251-3747563
55Sorana CirsteaROU0.979627334251
56Chanelle ScheepersRSA0.972604664867
57Tsvetana PironkovaBUL0.96854-31279045
58Yanina WickmayerBEL0.96555-3856054
59Virginie RazzanoFRA0.9648324813758
60Kristina MladenovicFRA0.963644776460
61Anabel Medina GarriguesESP0.96349-12489178
62Vesna DoloncSRB0.95559-31125662
63Galina VoskoboevaKAZ0.95256-7707184
64Su-Wei HsiehTPE0.94761-3995464
65Petra MarticCRO0.947683825557
66Kimiko Date-KrummJPN0.9456601086756
67Stefanie VoegeleSUI0.944692586979
68Lourdes Dominguez-LinoESP0.941702357277
69Marina ErakovicNZL0.94167-2737842
70Yung-Jan ChanTPE0.94065-5726397
71Eugenie BouchardCAN0.939732698749
72Jie ZhengCHN0.93963-9874472
73Annika BeckGER0.93172-18811073
74Monica PuigPUR0.927784629271
75Maria-Teresa Torro-FlorESP0.9248054511969
76Lesia TsurenkoUKR0.923760927991
77Ajla TomljanovicCRO0.92071-69610381
78Yulia PutintsevaKAZ0.919824718090
79Vania KingUSA0.9187909468109
80Andrea HlavackovaCZE0.914941410412088
81Olga GovortsovaBLR0.91292111079389
82Kiki BertensNED0.91077-5907794
83Yvonne MeusburgerAUT0.909103203413980
84Irina-Camelia BeguROU0.90675-954126101
85Donna VekicCRO0.9019161236182
86Barbora Zahlavova StrycovaCZE0.89984-21099768
87Karin KnappITA0.8989693913087
88Heather WatsonGBR0.89581-71149975
89Elina SvitolinaUKR0.890110216552103
90Johanna KontaGBR0.8871051513662100
91Melanie OudinUSA0.88690-110310785
92Nicole GibbsUSA0.8851404813084108
93Alexandra DulgheruROU0.883118255710993
94Camila GiorgiITA0.88188-69312874
95Bojana JovanovskiSRB0.87987-8957686
96Johanna LarssonSWE0.878102663122104
97Vera DushevinaRUS0.87698115159120
98Shuai ZhangCHN0.876116187553114
99Coco VandewegheUSA0.874130311467099
100Lucie HradeckaCZE0.87486-1489138131
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
101Lauren DavisUSA0.87395-611185106
102Karolina PliskovaCZE0.87189-1312611292
103Sofia ArvidssonSWE0.86885-18143117138
104Paula OrmaecheaARG0.868108443124121
105Alison RiskeUSA0.866107217610453
106Ksenia PervakKAZ0.85993-13124102107
107Sesil KaratantchevaKAZ0.85599-814082112
108Anna SchmiedlovaSVK0.8531179101113119
109Elena BaltachaGBR0.853109016612783
110Casey DellacquaAUS0.846100-101538896
111Timea BacsinszkySUI0.8441392883143123
112Alexandra CadantuROU0.8431322055106117
113Timea BabosHUN0.8431261310083136
114Michelle Larcher De BritoPOR0.84397-1720312176
115Anastasija SevastovaLAT0.838115011594133
116Melinda CzinkHUN0.838106-10161115124
117Shahar PeerISR0.83614326120105134
118Misaki DoiJPN0.833114-4154150130
119Sharon FichmanCAN0.8321291010296151
120Grace MinUSA0.832112-8105125115
121Mariana Duque-MarinoCOL0.831101-2084169118
122Nastassja BurnettITA0.830131998140113
123Maria SanchezUSA0.830111-12163133129
124Luksika KumkhumTHA0.8281341015581147
125Mathilde JohanssonFRA0.82812506817498
126Akgul AmanmuradovaUZB0.828122-4138111140
127Dinah PfizenmaierGER0.8271411480136145
128Estrella Cabeza-CandelaESP0.827137978156132
129Shelby RogersUSA0.8261471811674152
130Alexa GlatchUSA0.824121-9209160128
131Caroline GarciaFRA0.823113-18133137111
132Belinda BencicSUI0.821133114214595
133Teliana PereiraBRA0.818136360170153
134Silvia Soler-EspinosaESP0.817119-1586147135
135Ashleigh BartyAUS0.816124-11141141137
136Kurumi NaraJPN0.8151572116286125
137Yuliya BeygelzimerUKR0.8151447184214116
138Anastasia RodionovaAUS0.811127-11137100166
139Mirjana Lucic-BaroniCRO0.811128-1112918270
140Lara ArruabarrenaESP0.809123-17113149154
141Tamira PaszekAUT0.809120-21196151102
142Laura SiegemundGER0.808142061204149
143Jana CepelovaSVK0.804138-5117108122
144Madison BrengleUSA0.7961462242199161
145Laura Pous-TioESP0.7911494128238173
146Ana KonjuhCRO0.79117428131146143
147Zarina DiyasKAZ0.7901481191197155
148Eleni DaniilidouGRE0.788135-13295129105
149Maryna ZanevskaUKR0.787145-4145161174
150Ons JabeurTUN0.78617828160142139
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
151Anna TatishviliGEO0.785160997116177
152Catalina CastanoCOL0.7851553147185199
153Maria-Elena CamerinITA0.78016411185172142
154Carina WitthoeftGER0.7801617134166159
155Yi-Miao ZhouCHN0.7771583211114171
156Alla KudryavtsevaRUS0.7761762021998126
157Claire FeuersteinFRA0.775156-1225173167
158Aravane RezaiFRA0.774151-7110184190
159Maria Joao KoehlerPOR0.77418526193118165
160Nadiya KichenokUKR0.77319131168131163
161Jessica PegulaUSA0.772150-11172157176
162Olga PuchkovaRUS0.7701708202101141
163An-Sophie MestachBEL0.7691663179175148
164Alexandra PanovaRUS0.768153-11178167184
165Patricia Mayr-AchleitnerAUT0.767152-13106227156
166Irina FalconiUSA0.767159-7177176160
167Ana SavicCRO0.766154-13170211192
168Ekaterina BychkovaRUS0.76619022234196194
169Tatjana MariaGER0.765168-1187206157
170Anna-Lena FriedsamGER0.765162-8152178162
171Kristyna PliskovaCZE0.7631710223155127
172Anett KontaveitEST0.763167-5192180178
173Alison Van UytvanckBEL0.763169-4159190164
174Greta ArnHUN0.759172-2173164191
175Aleksandra KrunicSRB0.7571750164159186
176Edina GallovitsROU0.756163-13118192201
177Danka KovinicMNE0.75419215158202170
178Jarmila GajdosovaAUS0.7531791171207146
179Olga SavchukUKR0.75220526182153195
180Beatriz Garcia-VidaganyESP0.749177-3135188168
181Kai-Chen ChangTPE0.749173-8258158179
182Melanie KlaffnerAUT0.7481886121221110
183Arantxa Parra-SantonjaESP0.745180-3139290180
184Ying-Ying DuanCHN0.7451873204134181
185Stephanie DuboisCAN0.7451861260148219
186Mandy MinellaLUX0.743182-4125179193
187Gabriela DabrowskiCAN0.740183-4169187158
188Mayo HibiJPN0.7401968221132182
189Arantxa RusNED0.7391890119230206
190Michaella KrajicekNED0.739165-25279181172
191Pauline ParmentierFRA0.738181-10186198200
192Valeria SavinykhRUS0.737184-8220135169
193Renata VoracovaCZE0.72920411194294218
194Julie CoinFRA0.72222834318123217
195Nina BratchikovaRUS0.7221983217144210
196Julia GlushkoISR0.7212111515689189
197Sacha JonesAUS0.7201970208177209
198Sachia VickeryUSA0.720193-5248218203
199Eva BirnerovaCZE0.718194-5213276150
200Valeria SolovievaRUS0.71821515245223208
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
201Irena PavlovicFRA0.717195-6231216213
202Kristina BarroisGER0.7132064309253226
203Bibiane SchoofsNED0.7132030201260205
204Tamarine TanasugarnTHA0.713202-2305298144
205Tara MooreGBR0.713201-4233210188
206Sandra ZahlavovaCZE0.712199-7235183227
207Tereza SmitkovaCZE0.710200-7285240202
208Stephanie VogtLIE0.70721911132217228
209Qiang WangCHN0.7032123249163185
210Ana VrljicCRO0.702209-1367189231
211Sandra ZaniewskaPOL0.7022176148254196
212Alberta BriantiITA0.702210-2214219261
213Katarzyna PiterPOL0.7012229149231230
214Anne KeothavongGBR0.700207-7344261240
215Katerina SiniakovaCZE0.6982238229168236
216Kristina KucovaSVK0.6972248200154241
217Victoria DuvalUSA0.6972214232244212
218Anastasia GrymalskaITA0.69723214181274224
219Taylor TownsendUSA0.696208-11246208183
220Angelique Van Der MeetNED0.69623414180281214
221Tadeja MajericSLO0.696218-3183152198
222Antonia LottnerGER0.69523311210237197
223Beatriz Haddad MaiaBRA0.69223512165201233
224Tereza MrdezaCRO0.692216-8175257259
225Cristina-Andreea MituROU0.69124015199186207
226Elizaveta KulichkovaRUS0.69124317228193223
227Saisai ZhengCHN0.6882314264191215
228Stephanie Foretz GaconFRA0.688213-15212282187
229Sheng-Nan SunCHN0.685220-9292246254
230Olivia RogowskaAUS0.683225-5236203225
231Jovana JaksicSRB0.68224817157209248
232Irina KhromachevaRUS0.6812375188307239
233Magda LinettePOL0.67924411240200249
234Sara Sorribes TormoESP0.67824915205247245
235Victoria KanRUS0.67524712195263234
236Julia BoserupUSA0.67526529284262235
237Heidi El TabakhCAN0.674214-23222268246
238Alize LimFRA0.67425921174195237
239Kathrin WoerleGER0.673230-9241226211
240Petra RampreSLO0.673226-14243280242
241Marta SirotkinaRUS0.672229-12301242204
242Masa Zec-PeskiricSLO0.6712519207381258
243Giulia Gatto-MonticoneITA0.6702529224220243
244Amra SadikovicSUI0.669227-17257343232
245Daria GavrilovaRUS0.668238-7278265257
246Viktorija GolubicSUI0.6682559144264244
247Jasmina TinjicBIH0.667239-8206224281
248Samantha CrawfordUSA0.666245-3268162238
249Cagla BuyukakcayTUR0.6652501226213256
250Richel HogenkampNED0.66326313167303265
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
251Aliaksandra SasnovichBLR0.661242-9255215268
252Barbora KrejcikovaCZE0.66127321198272251
253Pemra OzgenTUR0.66027825290251247
254Alexandra StevensonUSA0.6572617314273271
255Kateryna KozlovaUKR0.65626611265171263
256Ilona KremenBLR0.6552560253245252
257Florencia MolineroARG0.654254-3150326273
258Michaela HoncovaSVK0.654241-17256314253
259Julia CohenUSA0.653236-23247337278
260Chanel SimmondsRSA0.651258-2294194289
261Bernarda PeraUSA0.6482643239312260
262Sarah GronertGER0.646257-5286205288
263Severine BeltrameFRA0.645253-10274212220
264Yuxuan ZhangCHN0.6382684351270175
265Anne SchaeferGER0.63727510230315283
266Gioia BarbieriITA0.6372693275289267
267Mervana Jugic-SalkicBIH0.636260-7272302266
268Diana MarcinkevicaLAT0.635262-6289225269
269Margarita GasparyanRUS0.63527910252296270
270Julia KimmelmannGER0.6332766398331274
271Xin WenCHN0.63229423310222275
272Iona-Raluca OlaruROU0.632271-1281334308
273Paula Cristina GoncalvesBRA0.6302829250278277
274Reka-Luca JaniHUN0.6272773122309300
275Jill CraybasUSA0.627272-3357325327
276Storm SandersAUS0.62630226237165279
277Veronica Cepede RoygPAR0.626274-3189319297
278Valentyna IvakhnenkoUKR0.62529921254255280
279Maria IrigoyenARG0.6252856190275313
280Ye-Ra LeeKOR0.6252811325235321
281Paula KaniaPOL0.62529716215271287
282Erika SemaJPN0.6232864349228255
283Risa OzakiJPN0.62031330299233314
284Louisa ChiricoUSA0.61929612261258216
285Mi YooKOR0.6182927332284286
286Junri NamigataJPN0.616267-19321394262
287Cristina DinuROU0.61630518216292304
288Noppawan LertcheewakarnTHA0.6162891346291285
289Laura ThorpeFRA0.61632435244318309
290Marie-Eve PelletierCAN0.614284-6311427317
291Irina RamialisonFRA0.614283-8328323290
292Federica Di SarraITA0.613280-12297356291
293Yurika SemaJPN0.61331017283248272
294Fangzhou LiuCHN0.61330612324234292
295Asia MuhammedUSA0.6123005428340293
296Lauren EmbreeUSA0.611N/AN/A304349295
297Elitsa KostovaBUL0.611287-10422306318
298Ulrikke EikeriNOR0.611293-5273239311
299Marta DomachowskaPOL0.610288-11510353354
300Sachie IshizuJPN0.6103077345267306
AB RankPlayerCountryBase RankLast MonthChangeClay RkHard RkGrass Rk
301Krista HardebeckUSA0.608N/AN/A353366284
302Naomi BroadyGBR0.604290-12381385282
303Nigina AbduraimovaUZB0.6033041326344294
304Katarzyna KawaPOL0.603298-6282336302
305Sofia ShapatavaGEO0.6033083287256303
306Lyudmyla KichenokUKR0.60032216406327323
307Andrea GamizVEN0.59833124227259316
308Madalina GojneaROU0.597291-17323377359
309Arina RodionovaRUS0.5973167342299276
310Katerina VankovaCZE0.5953155306328320
311Samantha MurrayGBR0.59532514352316301
312Lesley KerkhoveNED0.59434432303232357
313Jan AbazaUSA0.594301-12262295312
314Monique AdamczakAUS0.594295-19372374222
315Corinna DentoniITA0.594312-3269357250
316Denisa AllertovaCZE0.593311-5251359315
317Varatchaya WongteanchaiTHA0.593309-8334229339
318Laura-Ioana AndreiROU0.592314-4271269319
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321Oksana KalashnikovaRUS0.59133918298332325
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327Myrtille GeorgesFRA0.5823369267346328
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383Anastasiya VasylyevaUKR0.5453863508515379
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386Lenka JurikovaSVK0.54240216313387411
387Vanesa FurlanettoARG0.54240316333367381
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392Ellen AllgurinSWE0.539373-19421383450
393Anais LaurendonFRA0.538380-13433501387
394Yvonne NeuwirthAUT0.53845561218415341
395Marina ShamaykoRUS0.5363972418392391
396Anna ShkudunUKR0.5363993385417439
397Iryna BremondFRA0.535387-10448511467
398Ekaterina AlexandrovaRUS0.5324002429405394
399Nastja KolarSLO0.531391-8477453400
400Marie BenoitBEL0.53145252291413396
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401Marcela ZacariasMEX0.530376-25437391440
402Lena-Marie HofmannGER0.53042119327503397
403Mari TanakaJPN0.52942421480305331
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408Yi-Jing ZhaoCHN0.5274146489403401
409Varvara FlinkRUS0.5264134411449402
410Aleksandrina NaydenovaBUL0.5264177338490453
411Chieh-Yu HsuUSA0.525381-30557365482
412Peangtarn PlipuechTHA0.525411-1440401373
413Barbara HaasAUT0.525410-3355426413
414Cindy BurgerNED0.5254195348450403
415Eri HozumiJPN0.525407-8405505221
416Zuzana ZlochovaSVK0.52347155307371404
417Ling ZhangHKG0.52142710505277464
418Brianna MorganUSA0.521N/AN/A339360409
419Karin KennelSUI0.52043718412372414
420Ganna PoznikhirenkoUKR0.520416-4366433410
421Chiara SchollUSA0.519345-76386406452
422Oceane DodinFRA0.519395-27457421412
423Lenka WienerovaSVK0.517409-14446575477
424Irina BuryachokUKR0.51743410363492446
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426Nicola GeuerGER0.516415-11571485441
427Mayya KatsitadzeRUS0.516384-43494454419
428Miharu ImanishiJPN0.51648961467311455
429Isabella ShinikovaBUL0.5154312383470421
430Melanie SouthGBR0.515420-10544777356
431So-Jung KimKOR0.5154354491436476
432Zuzana LuknarovaSVK0.5144397413411423
433Petra KrejsovaCZE0.51444310409460424
434Nina ZanderGER0.51451581479537425
435Carolin DanielsGER0.51447742259488426
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439Jesika MaleckovaCZE0.512365-74493477431
440Su Jeong JangKOR0.5114488449345432
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445Ekaterina IvanovaRUS0.508429-16426442468
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447Naomi OsakaJPN0.5074470404350435
448Ipek SoyluTUR0.5064491526444398
449Claudia GiovineITA0.50650556540429436
450Romana TedjakusumaINA0.505418-32531463438
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452Karin MorgosovaSVK0.5044531300455442
453Yi-Fan XuCHN0.504433-20468310461
454Leticia Costas-MoreiraESP0.504440-14436430444
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460Ivonne Cavalle-ReimersESP0.5004600388500457
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477Gaia SanesiITA0.49155982417571479
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483Makoto NinomiyaJPN0.488462-21506483585
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485Lena LitvakUSA0.487474-11500609485
486Annalisa BonaITA0.48750822465534486
487Montserrat GonzalezPAR0.48650922408434384
488Alexandra ArtamonovaRUS0.486479-9461473487
489Tayisiya MordergerGER0.486466-23459481488
490Martina BoreckaCZE0.48552333511471489
491Virginie AyassamyFRA0.4854965573476490
492Miki MiyamuraJPN0.483478-14504467264
493Fernanda BritoCHI0.483451-42517484493
494Pernilla MendesovaCZE0.483N/AN/A563465494
495Nicha LertpitaksinchaiTHA0.48256267597313460
496Elizabeth LumpkinUSA0.48251923548407496
497Haochen TangCHN0.482465-32539602495
498Bianca HincuROU0.482494-4487497497
499Natalia OrlovaRUS0.481498-1613456498
500Agnese ZucchiniITA0.481472-28473619499

2013 Mizzou Walkthrough: Waters & Reese are the soon-to-be past and future of the TE position

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Eric Waters

#81 | 6'4, 245, Sr. | Mansfield, TX

2011: 3 targets, 2 catches (67%), 46 yards (15.3/target), 1 TD
2012: 8 targets, 4 catches (50%), 27 yards (3.4/target)

Bill C.: Eric Waters is a team player. The tight end role has changed a few times since he moved to Columbia. When he signed with Mizzou, Chase Coffman was fresh off of winning the Mackey Award. When he was a redshirt freshman, Michael Egnew was catching 90 passes. And as his role increased in 2012, due to both his own development and a complete lack of other tight ends on the roster, he became basically a sixth linemen, if for no other reason than Mizzou needed all the blocking help it could get. Thus, at one of the schools most successful in throwing to the tight end over the last decade, Mizzou's returning starting tight end caught just four passes last year.

Through everything, Waters has shown a willingness to do whatever is required of him. That's awesome. And he will likely be asked to do quite a bit as a senior, too. He was surpassed by Sean Culkin at first string, but he's still the most accomplished and experienced blocker Mizzou has at the position. (He's also got more career receptions, obviously, but Culkin could catch him in that regard by the end of September.)

Good teams have players like Eric Waters throughout the depth chart, experienced hands with a willingness to help however they are asked.

MizzouRugby: I assume we will see Mr. Waters either up on the line or in the backfield as an H-back when we need more blocking, and that may be about it. He wasn’t used for much more last year, but he still held his own, so with added experience, he may be an asset for Henson this year.

The Beef: I agree Waters will be an asset as we look to make ourselves bigger. However, I think Culkin stands to make the larger impact.

CapnCribbs: I think Waters will play a role as a blocker, and will help on goal line "beef" packages when we need to pound it into the end zone. Personally, I think Culkin will become our feature TE this year, but Waters will play an increased role in the red zone as Henson looks to get the tight ends more involved.

countrycal: The coaches and fans know what Eric can do, and appreciate it when he does it. But, like the others here, I think there is more that can be done with the tight end and Sean Culkin is going to get a chance to show that this year under the direction of Coach Henson.

Jason Reese

#82 | 6'5, 240, Fr. | Euless, TX

If there's one thing we learned in 2012, it's that players get hurt. And the odds are pretty good that a third-stringer will spend at least a portion of a given season on the second string. For this reason alone, I think that if Jason Reese shows decent capabilities in fall camp, he plays in 2013. He is the third of three scholarship tight ends, and if he's not ready, then he's not ready. But if he's at least semi-ready, he plays.

So is he semi-ready? I think we're at "quite possibly" right now.

*Pinkel said freshman tight end Jason Reese, who is currently fourth on the depth chart but one of only three scholarship tight ends on the entire roster, is making an impression.

"Jason, when we recruited him I think he was 215," Pinkel said. "He’s 242 right now. He looks like he’s 220. He’s a really, really athletic guy with great size potential."

The coaching staff has shown through the years that if it thinks you can make a winning contribution to the team, you probably won't redshirt unless there is a ton of depth ahead of you. Having "size potential" says more about your future , obviously, but I think the staff might like his present, too. I see a Michael Egnew-esque, "playing as a true freshman and catching 3-5 passes" kind of situation for Reese this year. (countrycal disagrees.)

The Beef: Not much depth at this position, so I don't know if Reese will be able to shed the shirt or wait his turn after Waters departs.

countrycal: I can’t imagine Jason seeing the field this season unless both tight ends go down.

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